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Remain would win second Brexit referendum but no-deal would get more votes than Theresa May's deal, poll indicates

The Independent logo The Independent 20/03/2019 Harry Cockburn

Demonstrators at a Brexit protest march © Getty Demonstrators at a Brexit protest march Britain is due to leave the EU in nine days time, with or without a deal, but after MPs voted against a no-deal exit, and also against the exit deal negotiated by Theresa May, the government has requested an extension to the Brexit deadline.

As the European Union mulls whether to grant the extension, a snap poll by YouGov indicates 61 per cent of the population would vote to remain in the EU rather than for Theresa May’s deal (39 per cent) if a referendum offering those options were called.

However, if people were asked in a public vote whether they would prefer to remain in the EU or leave with no deal in place, remain would still win, though by the smaller margin of 57-43 per cent.

a red white and blue shoes © Provided by Independent Digital News & Media Limited It shows a 22-point lead for Remain over Ms May’s deal, or a 14-point lead for Remain over no deal at all.

The poll, done on behalf of the Put it to the People campaign, comes as second referendum expectations have risen.

YouGov reported a poll done on the 27th and 28th February found 19 per cent of people thought a second referendum was the most likely eventual Brexit outcome, but this figure has now risen to 28 per cent.

Over the same time period, the proportion of people expecting some form of deal to be passed in parliament has dropped from 31 per cent to 18 per cent, while those who expect a no-deal Brexit has remained essentially unchanged (from 24 per cent to 26 per cent).

Gallery: Facts to know about Brexit (Photo Services)

A march in support of a Final Say second referendum takes place on in central London on Saturday and is expected to attract hundreds of thousands of protesters. Meanwhile a “Leave means Leave” protest, also known as the “Brexit betrayal march” is underway with tens of Brexit supporters walking for two weeks from Sunderland to London demanding the UK leaves the EU on 29 March.

2nd Referendum Voting Intentions

Remain Vs government deal:

Remain: 61%

Government deal: 39%

Remain Vs No deal

Remain: 57%

No deal: 43%

Source: YouGov/Put it to the People


Theresa May asks EU for Brexit delay until 30 June (The Guardian)

Mr. Brexit? Trump, a critic of the E.U., keeps undermining Theresa May’s plan to leave it. (The Washington Post)

Price of Brexit delay could be referendum or election, says Barnier (The Guardian)


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