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Consumer confidence eases in February

NZN 16/02/2017 Sophie Boot

New Zealand consumer confidence eased in February, but more consumers are still feeling better off personally than they did a year earlier.

The ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence index decreased to 127.4 last month from 128.7 in January, but was up on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The current conditions index slipped 2 points to 128, while the future conditions index dropped 1 point to 127.

New Zealand's economy has been underpinned by an expanding population, strong tourism, and a buoyant property market stoking consumer spending, while the labour market has remained robust with new jobs being created for the inflow of migrants.

"The economic landscape looks pretty radiant for consumers," ANZ Bank New Zealand chief economist Cameron Bagrie said in a note.

"A high [New Zealand dollar] is keeping imported products cheap. Wage gains might be modest but income growth is still up 4.8 per cent on a year ago, courtesy of strong employment growth."

ANZ's composite confidence gauge, which combines the business and consumer indicators, estimates annual GDP growth rising past 4 per cent through the rest of the year.

Bagrie said the bank doesn't think the economy will grow that fast, but the overall message was for strong growth.

A net 15 per cent of the 1000 people surveyed said they were better off now than a year ago, the highest reading since early 2008, while a net 31 per cent expect to be in a stronger financial position 12 months from now, compared to 34 per cent a month ago.

More people see the economy improving this year with a net 26 per cent predicting better times for the nation over the coming 12 months, compared to 25 per cent in January, while 24 per cent have an upbeat five-year outlook, down from 25 per cent.

Households were still optimistic about spending with a net 41 per cent saying now was a good time to buy a big-ticket item, down from 49 per cent in January, and annual inflation expectations eased to 3.6 per cent from 3.7 per cent. House price inflation expectations were unchanged from January at 4.3 per cent per year for the next two years.

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