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Winter to be warmer, wetter than average

NZ NewswireNZ Newswire 1/06/2016

New Zealanders can expect a wetter, but warmer winter than in previous years according to forecasters.

There is between 65 and 80 per cent possibility that temperatures will be above average across the country according to the NIWA forecasts released on Thursday.

The warmth won't just be in the air but also in the water as ocean models predict these conditions will continue throughout winter and could contribute to more severe storms than usual.

However, it doesn't mean the weather won't get cooler with occasional frosts and cold snaps.

There is also a 50/50 chance that most of the country will be hit with larger than expected rainfalls, particularly in the north and west of the North Island and the west of the South Island.

It comes as the El Nino weather event completes its rapid demise after peaking in December last year with ocean-atmospheric conditions now largely back to normal.

While the weather is expected to remain in the neutral range over the next three months, there is still a 43 per cent chance La Nina will begin to develop over the Pacific.

El Nino generally brings drier than normal conditions across the western Pacific while La Nina provides the complete opposite.


* Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, Hawke's Bay, Wairarapa, Central North Island, Taranaki, Wanganui, Manawatu, Wellington, Nelson, Marlborough, Buller - 80 per cent

* West Coast, Southern Alps and foothills, inland Otago, Southland - 70 per cent

* Coastal Canterbury, east Otago - 65 per cent

Source: NIWA

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