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China is slamming the US with $34 billion in tariffs — here are the states that will be hurt the most

Business Insider logo Business Insider 6/23/2018 Bob Bryan

china tariffs© Provided by Business Insider china tariffs The collateral damage from President Donald Trump's trade fight with China could soon have some states feeling the squeeze.

China announced tariffs on $50 billion worth of imports from the US in response to Trump's tariffs on Chinese imports, an escalation of the brewing trade war between the two countries.

Also mirroring Trump's move, China's tariffs will be deployed in two waves — the first covering $34 billion worth of goods coming in early July.

The Chinese tariffs are focused on energy and agricultural products, covering goods including ornamental fish, whiskey, and coal. By singling out certain goods, the Chinese are also hitting some states harder than others.

To breakdown the effect by state, Business Insider used US Commerce Department data to determine the amount of tariff-eligible goods from each state sent to China in 2017. (Due to the US database's limitations, the totals include some foreign-sourced goods that may not be subject to China's tariffs. Those goods represent a small portion of the overall values.)

There are nine states that exported more than $1 billion worth of tariff-eligible goods to China in 2017: 

  • Texas: $8,022,380,040
  • Louisiana: $6,627,390,388
  • Washington: $5,231,988,100
  • California: $4,560,897,434
  • Alabama: $2,620,256,485
  • South Carolina: $2,588,390,677
  • Illinois: $2,123,222,976
  • Kentucky: $1,006,565,148

Many of these states have just a handful of goods that make up most of the coming pain. For instance, $5.6 billion of Louisiana's $6.6 billion worth of tariff-eligible exports comes from soybeans. Similarly for Alabama, $1.7 of the state's $2.6 billion in tariff-eligible goods is soybeans. In Texas, the biggest hit will come from crude oil (the state sent $3.7 billion worth to China last year) and propane, the state sent $1.7 billion worth to China last year.

Xi Jinping wearing a suit and tie: President Donald Trump escalated his trade dispute with China and is planning for $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to be subjected to an additional 10% tariff.In turn, China said it would slap the US with tariffs on $50 billion worth of US imports starting in July.China's tariffs would target energy and agricultural products, such as ornamental fish, whiskey, and coal - which would affect some states more than others.There are eight US states that exported more than $1 billion worth of tariff-eligible goods to China in 2017. President Donald Trump escalated his trade dispute with China earlier this week, ordering the US Trade Representative to compile a list of $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to be subjected to an additional 10% tariff. Trump's decision came three days after he announced tariffs on $50 billion worth of Chinese goods that would be subject to a 25% tariff. In turn, China said it would slap the US with tariffs on $50 billion worth of US imports starting in July. China's tariffs would target energy and agricultural products, such as ornamental fish, whiskey, and coal - which would affect some states more than others. Business Insider used US Commerce Department data to determine the number of tariff-eligible goods from each state shipped to China in 2017. Because of the US database's limitations, the totals include some foreign-sourced goods that may not be subject to China's tariffs. Those goods represent a small portion of the overall values. Additionally, the database measures exports using a system called Origin of Movement. This measures where exports are sent from rather than where they are produced. While research shows that Origin of Movement can be a solid proxy for production, the Census Bureau data may provide an undercount for some upstream producers. For instance, some farmers in the Midwest ship their soybeans to Louisiana for transport, which increases the count for Louisiana. Given the fact that Louisiana still relies on the shipping and sales for its economy, the data is still helpful to evaluate the pain from the tariffs - but it may undercount the lost value to some upstream producers. There are eight US states that exported more than $1 billion worth of tariff-eligible goods to China in 2017: All the US states that ship more than $1 billion worth of goods to China that would be slammed by tariffs

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