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Projecting the MLB season

Graphiq Logo By Nick Selbe of Graphiq | Slide 1 of 31: <p>Opening Day 2017 is coming fast, which means it's time to gaze into our crystal balls and declare the winners and losers before the first pitch is even thrown. Making predictions is a fool's errand, but that won't stop us from trying. Thanks to baseball's treasure trove of advanced stats, there are plenty of projection systems available to make educated forecasts of the season to come.</p><p><a href="http://www.pointafter.com/">PointAfter</a>, a sports data site powered by <a href="https://www.graphiq.com/">Graphiq</a>, turned to two oft-used projection models to predict the final standings for the 2017 MLB season: <a href="http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings">Fangraphs</a> and Baseball Prospectus' Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, better known as <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/">PECOTA</a>. PointAfter weighed both projections equally to come up with the final regular season standings.</p><p>Fangraphs and PECOTA often have similar views on teams, but there are instances where there's a discrepancy between the two models. PointAfter will start in the National League and break down each division, moving from East to West, then do the same for the American League. While the projections are high on the defending champion Chicago Cubs, the North Siders aren't the ones expected to finish with the best record.</p>

Projecting the 2017 MLB Season

Opening Day 2017 is coming fast, which means it's time to gaze into our crystal balls and declare the winners and losers before the first pitch is even thrown. Making predictions is a fool's errand, but that won't stop us from trying. Thanks to baseball's treasure trove of advanced stats, there are plenty of projection systems available to make educated forecasts of the season to come.

PointAfter, a sports data site powered by Graphiq, turned to two oft-used projection models to predict the final standings for the 2017 MLB season: Fangraphs and Baseball Prospectus' Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm, better known as PECOTA. PointAfter weighed both projections equally to come up with the final regular season standings.

Fangraphs and PECOTA often have similar views on teams, but there are instances where there's a discrepancy between the two models. PointAfter will start in the National League and break down each division, moving from East to West, then do the same for the American League. While the projections are high on the defending champion Chicago Cubs, the North Siders aren't the ones expected to finish with the best record.

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