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2022 British Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions from analytics model that nailed the Masters

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 7/13/2022 CBS Sports Staff
OWINGS MILLS, MARYLAND - AUGUST 27: Bryson DeChambeau of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club on August 27, 2021 in Owings Mills, Maryland. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images) © Provided by CBS Sports

OWINGS MILLS, MARYLAND - AUGUST 27: Bryson DeChambeau of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club on August 27, 2021 in Owings Mills, Maryland. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

The 2022 Open Championship will begin Thursday on the Old Course at St. Andrews. Xander Schauffele enters the 150th British Open having surpassed world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler as the hottest player on the planet. Schauffele ended a nearly three-year winless drought with a team win alongside Patrick Cantlay at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans and then won the Travelers Championship late last month and the Scottish Open last week. The wins in his last two starts have vaulted him all the way from No. 15 in the Official World Golf Ranking to No. 5 and now he's set his sights on the Claret Jug in the Open Championship 2022.

Schauffele was the runner-up at the 2018 British Open and is 14-1 in the latest 2022 Open Championship odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Rory McIlroy is the 9-1 favorite in his return to the Old Course for the 2022 British Open. Before locking in your 2022 Open Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven golf model

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it's up over $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model included Thomas in its best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 British Open golf tournament is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 Open Championship predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Open Championship 2022: Rory McIlroy, the 2022 British Open favorite at 9-1, falls short of winning it all and barely finishes inside the top three. The 31-year old Northern Irishman has 35 combined wins on the PGA and European Tours and three major championships. He won the Open Championship in 2014 and finished third when it was held at St. Andrews in 2010.

He's been contending in majors on a regular basis, but inconsistent play continues to cost him titles. In the three majors this season, he's shot at least one round of 67 or lower, but he's also had at least one round of 73 or higher. The model is calling for him to fall short again, making him one of the favorites to fade in 2022 British Open bets. 

Another surprise: Shane Lowry, a 22-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Lowry bottomed out at No. 49 in the Official World Golf Ranking early in 2022, but he's put together a spectacular season to climb all the way back to No. 22 heading into the Open Championship 2022 and we know he has an affinity for links golf.

The 2019 British Open winner at Royal Portrush also won the Irish Open as an amateur in 2009 when he was only 22 and is coming off a ninth finish at the Irish Open this year as he prepped for St. Andrews. Lowry has only missed one cut in 2022 and been top-15 in nine of his 14 starts, including a third-place finish at the Masters. He ranks eighth on tour in total strokes gained per round (1.615) and has a well-rounded game with experience on links courses, which should make him a factor this week. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2022 Open Championship picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

So who will win the Open Championship 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters.

2022 Open Championship odds, field

See full Open Championship 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy 9-1

Xander Schauffele 14-1

Jon Rahm 14-1

Scottie Scheffler 16-1

Jordan Spieth 16-1

Matthew Fitzpatrick 18-1

Justin Thomas 18-1

Shane Lowry 22-1

Collin Morikawa 25-1

Will Zalatoris 25-1

Cameron Smith 25-1

Patrick Cantlay 25-1

Dustin Johnson 35-1

Tyrrell Hatton 35-1

Brooks Koepka 35-1

Tommy Fleetwood 35-1

Louis Oosthuizen 40-1

Viktor Hovland 40-1

Hideki Matsuyama 40-1

Sam Burns 40-1

Joaquin Niemann 45-1

Max Homa 50-1

Justin Rose 50-1

Tony Finau 50-1

Tiger Woods 60-1

Bryson DeChambeau 65-1

Ryan Fox 65-1

Sungjae Im 65-1

Corey Conners 80-1

Cameron Young 80-1

Seamus Power 80-1

Robert MacIntyre 80-1

Gary Woodland 80-1

Adam Scott 80-1

Marc Leishman 80-1

Billy Horschel 90-1

Patrick Reed 90-1

Abraham Ancer 90-1

Sergio Garcia 100-1

J.T. Poston 100-1

Paul Casey 100-1

Mito Pereira 100-1

Thomas Pieters 100-1

Lucas Herbert 100-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100-1

Webb Simpson 100-1

Cameron Tringale 100-1

Keegan Bradley 100-1

Harold Varner 100-1

Victor Perez 100-1

Adrian Meronk 125-1

Keith Mitchell 125-1

Aaron Wise 125-1

Haotong Li 125-1

Danny Willett 125-1

Jordan Smith 125-1

Padraig Harrington 125-1

Talor Gooch 125-1

Kurt Kitayama 125-1

Jason Kokrak 150-1

Sebastian Munoz 150-1

Russell Henley 150-1

Joohyung Kim 150-1

Si-Woo Kim 150-1

Brian Harman 150-1

Kevin Na 150-1

Sahith Theegala 150-1

Francesco Molinari 150-1

Kevin Kisner 150-1

Min Woo Lee 150-1

Lee Westwood 150-1

Thomas Detry 175-1

Bernd Wiesberger 175-1

Harris English 175-1

Erik van Rooyen 175-1

Sam Horsfield 175-1

Dean Burmester 175-1

Nicolai Hojgaard 200-1

Chris Kirk 200-1

Justin Harding 200-1

Phil Mickelson 200-1

Mackenzie Hughes 200-1

Pablo Larrazabal 200-1

Luke List 200-1

Stewart Cink 200-1

Tom Hoge 200-1

Ian Poulter 200-1

Dylan Frittelli 200-1

Emiliano Grillo 200-1

Kyoung-Hoon Lee 200-1

Henrik Stenson 200-1

Adri Arnaus 200-1

Richard Bland 250-1

Garrick Higgo 250-1

Guido Migliozzi 250-1

Wyndham Clark 250-1

Laurie Canter 250-1

Alexander Bjork 250-1

Takumi Kanaya 250-1

Matthew Jordan 250-1

Jason Scrivener 250-1

Zach Johnson 250-1

Richard Mansell 250-1

Brandon Wu 300-1

Fabrizio Zanotti 300-1

Thriston Lawrence 300-1

Trey Mullinax 300-1

Sepp Straka 300-1

Jamie Donaldson 300-1

John Catlin 300-1

Marcus Armitage 300-1

Shaun Norris 300-1

Kazuki Higa 400-1

Scott Vincent 400-1

Chan Kim 500-1

Ashley Chesters 500-1

Keita Nakajima 500-1

Yuto Katsuragawa 500-1

Dimitrios Papadatos 500-1

David Law 500-1

Sadom Kaewkanjana 500-1

Ben Campbell 500-1

Sihwan Kim 500-1

Lars Van Meijel 500-1

Shugo Imahira 500-1

Zander Lombard 500-1

Ernie Els 500-1

Brad Kennedy 500-1

Marco Penge 750-1

Mingyu Cho 750-1

Robert Dinwiddie 750-1

Anthony Quayle 750-1

Matthew Griffin 750-1

Minkyu Kim 750-1

Matt Ford 750-1

Aaron Jarvis 1000-1

John Parry 1000-1

Oliver Farr 1000-1

David Carey 1000-1

Paul Lawrie 1000-1

Aldrich Potgieter 1000-1

Jediah Morgan 1000-1

Barclay Brown 1000-1

Ronan Mullarney 1000-1


Jack Floydd 1000-1

Mark Calcavecchia 1000-1

Darren Clarke 1000-1

Filippo Celli 1000-1

David Duval 1000-1

Jorge Fernandez-Valdes 1000-1

John Daly 1000-1

Stephen Dodd 1000-1

Alex Wrigley 1000-1

Sam Bairstow 1000-1

Justin De Los Santos 1000-1

Jamie Rutherford 1000-1

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