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2021 MLB playoffs: Red Sox vs. Rays odds, ALDS Game 2 picks, predictions from proven computer model

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 10/8/2021 CBS Sports Staff
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The Boston Red Sox face a near must-win game on Friday when they take on the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 2 of an American League Division Series at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. The Red Sox dropped Game 1, 5-0, in the series opener on Thursday. Another Boston loss would force the Red Sox to sweep the final three games of the best-of-five series in order to advance to the ALCS. 

On Friday Boston will face 22-year-old Rays rookie Shane Baz (2-0, 2.03 ERA), who will be making just his fourth career start. The Red Sox counter with veteran lefty Chris Sale (5-1, 3.16). Tampa Bay is the -140 favorite in the latest Rays vs. Red Sox odds from Caesars Sportsbook while Boston is a +130 underdog. The Over/Under for total runs scored is 7.5 and first pitch is at 7:02 p.m. ET. Before making any Rays vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to see the MLB playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the 2021 MLB playoffs with a 206-173 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning well over $800. It also had a banner 2019 season, the league's last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Red Sox vs. Rays and he just revealed his MLB playoff 2021 picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Now, here are several MLB playoffs odds and betting lines and trends for Rays vs. Red Sox:

  • Rays vs. Red Sox money line: Tampa Bay -140, Boston +130
  • Rays vs. Red Sox run line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+145)
  • Rays vs. Red Sox over-under: 7.5 runs
  • TB: Relievers led the AL with a 3.23 ERA.
  • BOS: Rafael Devers tied for fourth in the AL in RBI (113).
Featured Game| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Why you should back the Rays

Boston starter Sale has struggled in the postseason. In seven playoff games, including four starts, Sale is 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. He has not gone longer than 5.1 innings in any postseason game.

In addition, because Tampa Bay was able to win Game 1 of the ALDS comfortably, the team was able to rest its top relievers. Andrew Kittredge (9-3, 1.88 ERA, eight saves, 77 strikeouts in 71.2 innings), Collin McHugh (6-1, 1.55 ERA, one save) and lefty specialist Josh Fleming (10-8, 5.09 ERA, one save) sat idle on Thursday and will be fresh on Friday if needed. The Rays deep bullpen led the league this season in ERA (3.23).

Why you should back the Red Sox

Devers is having a career season for Boston. The Red Sox third baseman had a career-high 38 homers while also driving in 113 runs this season for Boston. He also has had a hot bat recently. Devers had two home runs in Sunday's regular-season finale against the Nationals and was 2-for-4 with a pair of walks and a run in the Wild Card win against the Yankees.

In addition, the Red Sox have one of the best lineups in the American League. Led by Devers, Boston hit .261 this season and had a .777 OPS. Both ranked third in the league. The Red Sox also ranked fifth in the AL in runs (829).

How to make Red Sox vs. Rays picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.9 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get that pick at SportsLine

So who wins Red Sox vs. Rays? And which side of the money line hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Red Sox vs. Rays you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed it MLB picks, and find out.  


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