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NASCAR All-Star Race 2022 odds, start time, TV channel: Computer shares shocking picks, predictions for Texas

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 5/22/2022 CBS Sports Staff
NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. brings out a caution after hitting the wall during the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. © Provided by CBS Sports

NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. brings out a caution after hitting the wall during the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

The 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race and NASCAR All-Star Open will take place at Texas Motor Speedway on Sunday. While the drivers will get a break from the stress of points racing, a $1 million prize will serve as plenty of motivation on race day. Qualifying will feature timed laps and head-to-head pit road races to determine the pole for the Open, where three drivers will be added to the 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race starting grid. There are already 20 drivers in the 2022 NASCAR All-Star race field and one more will qualify via a fan vote. The green flag drops on the NASCAR All-Star Race 2022 at 8 p.m. ET on FS1 (stream now on FuboTV).

Kyle Larson is the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion and won the first all-star race at Texas last year. He's the 9-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before scouring the 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Texas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then, it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure's model also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season-finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.

In total, it nailed five of Larson's wins during a historic season and has also gone 15-9 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Earlier this season it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. Two weeks ago, the model was also high on Joey Logano before he won as a 15-1 underdog. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns on their NASCAR picks.

Now, the model simulated the 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race (see tickets at StubHub) 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race at Texas leaderboard.

Top 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he's a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Texas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 29-year-old drives the No. 48 Chevrolet for Hendrick Motorsports that Jimmie Johnson made famous. His first season in that iconic car resulted in an impressive four-win season in 2021.

Bowman collected his seventh career Cup series win earlier this season at Las Vegas and has two other top-10 finishes in two other starts on 1.5-mile speedways so far in 2022. That setup information should be valuable at Texas Motor Speedway, where Bowman led nine laps and finished sixth in last year's NASCAR All-Star Race after starting 15th.

And a massive shocker: William Byron, one of the Vegas favorites at 9-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top 10. There are far better values in the 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race lineup. Byron is one of only two drivers (along with Ross Chastain) with two wins this season and that virtually guarantees his spot in the 2022 NASCAR Playoffs. However, he hasn't been running particularly well of late.

Byron has finished outside the top 10 in each of his last five starts and has now been outside the top 10 in nine of the 13 total races this season. He's also been outside the top 10 in four of his last six points races at Texas and finished a disappointing seventh despite leading 30 laps at the 2021 NASCAR All-Star Race.

How to make 2022 NASCAR Texas All-Star picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Texas odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the NASCAR All-Star Race 2022? And which long shots make a run at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR at Texas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 NASCAR All-Star Race leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson's wins last season. 

2022 NASCAR All-Star Race odds

Kyle Larson 9-2

Kyle Busch 7-1

Chase Elliott 15-2

William Byron 9-1

Martin Truex Jr. 9-1

Denny Hamlin 10-1

Ross Chastain 10-1

Ryan Blaney 12-1

Joey Logano 15-1

Christopher Bell 15-1

Alex Bowman 15-1

Kurt Busch 18-1

Kevin Harvick 25-1

Austin Cindric 40-1

Bubba Wallace 50-1

Chase Briscoe 60-1

Brad Keselowski 60-1

Aric Almirola 75-1

A.J. Allmendinger 100-1

Michael McDowell 300-1

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