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Lakers vs. Suns odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Oct. 22 predictions from model on 100-66 roll

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 10/23/2021 CBS Sports Staff
Mar 4, 2020; Dallas, Texas, USA; New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) reacts after scoring during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center. © Provided by CBS Sports

Mar 4, 2020; Dallas, Texas, USA; New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) reacts after scoring during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center.

The Phoenix Suns visit the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday evening at Staples Center. The teams face off for the first time since the 2021 NBA playoffs, when the Suns defeated the Lakers in the first round. Phoenix opened the 2021-22 regular season with a 12-point loss to the Denver Nuggets. Los Angeles fell to the Golden State Warriors in the team's season opener on Tuesday.

Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. The latest Suns vs. Lakers odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Los Angeles as a one-point favorite, while the over-under for total points is set at 221.5. Before making any Lakers vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Suns and just revealed its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and trends for Suns vs. Lakers:

  • Suns vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -1
  • Suns vs. Lakers over-under: 221.5 points
  • Suns vs. Lakers money line: Lakers -115, Suns -105
  • PHX: The Suns are 25-21-1 against the spread in the last 47 road games
  • LA:: The Lakers are 15-26 against the spread in the last 41 home games

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix is coming off a tremendous 2020-21 season and, if anything, the roster is upgraded for the 2021-22 campaign. All of the Suns' stars return, with Devin Booker averaging 25.6 points per game last season to lead the way. Deandre Ayton anchors the team near the rim, averaging 14.4 points and 10.5 rebounds per game last season and enjoying a playoff breakout, while Chris Paul provides a steady, efficient hand with 16.4 points, 8.9 assists and 60 percent true shooting a year ago. 

Phoenix is remarkably consistent, with top-seven units on both ends last season, and the Suns led the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio (2.15) with top-tier shooting efficiency. The Suns can also take advantage of the Lakers' lack of ball security, with Los Angeles committing a turnover on 14 percent of offensive possessions last season and 17 times in the season opener against the Warriors.

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have a tremendous combination of star power and defensive aptitude, providing an impressive baseline for success. Los Angeles is led by three All-NBA players, with LeBron James putting up 34 points and 11 rebounds in the opener and Anthony Davis adding 33 points and 11 rebounds. Russell Westbrook is only a few months removed from averaging 22.2 points, 11.7 assists and 11.5 rebounds per game for the Wizards, and the Lakers can attack in myriad ways. 

Defensively, Los Angeles led the NBA in defensive rating last season, allowing fewer than 1.08 points per possession. The Lakers were a top-five team in turnover creation rate, shooting efficiency allowed and defensive rebound rate, leading the league in allowing only 11.3 second-chance points per game. Los Angeles has immense size and athleticism, with top-10 marks in blocks and free throw rate allowed in 2020-21.

How to make Suns vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lakers vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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