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Memphis vs. Navy odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 7 predictions from model on 19-7 run

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 23 hrs ago CBS Sports Staff
Oct 24, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets helmet on the field before a game against the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Dodd Stadium. © Provided by CBS Sports

Oct 24, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets helmet on the field before a game against the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Dodd Stadium.

The Memphis Tigers can continue their dominance at home when they host the Navy Midshipmen in an American Athletic Conference game on Thursday night at the Liberty Bowl in Memphis. Since head coach Ryan Silverfield joined the coaching staff in 2016, the Tigers are 33-4 (89.2 winning percentage) at home. As a head coach, Silverfield is 8-1 (88.9) at the Liberty Bowl. Six of those 33 victories were against Power Five programs. This season Memphis (3-3, 0-2 in AAC) is 2-1 at home, while Navy (1-4, 1-2) is 0-1 on the road. 

Kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET. The Tigers are 11-point favorites in the latest Memphis vs. Navy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 56. Before locking in any Navy vs. Memphis picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Memphis vs. Navy and just released its CFB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Navy vs. Memphis:  

  • Memphis vs. Navy spread: Tigers -11
  • Memphis vs. Navy over-under: 56 points 
  • Memphis vs. Navy money line: Tigers -440, Midshipmen +340
  • MEM: Calvin Austin III leads the FBS in receiving yards (837) 
  • NAVY: Navy ranks fifth in the country in yards per completion (17.4)
Featured Game| Memphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen
Moneyline
Spread
Total
MEMP
-440
BET NOW
-11
-115
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o56
-110
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NAVY
+340
BET NOW
+11
-105
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u56
-110
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Why Memphis can cover

Memphis has one of the country's top passing attacks. Led by quarterback Seth Henigan and receiver Calvin Austin III, the Tigers average 323.0 passing yards per game, which leads the AAC and ranks 11th in the country. Henigan is the highest-ranked true freshman in the country in passing yards per game (323.0), passing touchdowns (14) and passing yards per completion (14.91). Meanwhile Austin leads the FBS in receiving yards (837) and ranks second in receiving yards (139.5) and all-purpose yards per game (162.0).

In addition, Memphis thrives in non-Saturday games. Since the start of 2014, the Tigers are 20-1 in non-Saturday, regular season games, including a perfect 8-0 mark at home. They also are 8-0 in Thursday night contests since '14.

Why Navy can cover

After struggling in the opening two games of the season, the Midshipmen have played better the past couple weeks. Navy knocked off a talented UCF team on Oct. 2 despite entering that game as a 15-point underdog. Navy then easily stayed within the 13.5-point spread against a ranked SMU squad last week. In total, the Midshipmen have covered in three straight games, suggesting that they might be undervalued overall.

In addition, the Midshipmen figure to dominate time of possession in this game. Behind its run-heavy attack, Navy leads the AAC and ranks seventh in the country in time of possession (33:36). Meanwhile Memphis ranks 11th in the conference and 126th in the nation in time of possession (26:07).

How to make Memphis vs. Navy picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 53 points. It also has an against the spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Navy vs. Memphis? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Memphis vs. Navy spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 19-7 run on top-rated picks, and find out.

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