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Chiefs vs. Jets odds, line, spread: NFL picks, Week 8 predictions from model on 111-72 roll

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 11/1/2020 CBS Sports Staff
a baseball player holding a bat on a field: EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 03: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) prior to the National Football League game between the New York Jets and the Kansas City Chiefs on December 3, 2017, at Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ © Provided by CBS Sports

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - DECEMBER 03: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) prior to the National Football League game between the New York Jets and the Kansas City Chiefs on December 3, 2017, at Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ

The Kansas City Chiefs will go for their third straight win when they face the New York Jets on Sunday. The Chiefs (6-1) are the second seed in the AFC playoff picture and will look to keep the pressure on the top-seeded Pittsburgh Steelers (6-0). Since 2013, Kansas City is 88-41 under coach Andy Reid, while New York is 7-16 under coach Adam Gase. Kansas City is seventh in total yards on offense at 398.3, while New York is 32nd at 264.3.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Chiefs are 20-point favorites in the latest Chiefs vs. Jets odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 49. Before making any Jets vs. Chiefs picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 15-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 8 on an incredible 111-72 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Jets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Jets vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Jets spread: Chiefs -20
  • Chiefs vs. Jets over-under: 49 points
  • Chiefs vs. Jets money line: Jets +1400, Chiefs -3500
  • NYJ: CB Pierre Desir leads the Jets with three interceptions
  • KC: Chiefs are fifth in the league in scoring at 31.1 points per game

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City's receiving corps is formidable with a one-two punch of tight end Travis Kelce and wide receiver Tyreek Hill. Kelce leads the Chiefs in receptions with 40 for 501 yards and five TDs. He has seven explosive plays of 20 or more yards and has 27 first-down conversions.

Kelce has five-plus catches and a receiving touchdown in two of the past three games. He also has four receiving touchdowns in three career games against the Jets. 

Hill is the team's top wide receiver with 31 receptions for 439 yards and five TDs. He has six explosive plays with 21 first-down conversions. He has four receiving touchdowns in his last four games against AFC East foes and has a TD catch in two of his past three home games.

Why the Jets can cover

Despite that, Kansas City is not a lock to cover the Jets vs. Chiefs spread. That's because New York has done a strong job of creating turnovers with 10, tied for eighth-best in the league, and has a plus-two turnover differential, ninth-best in the NFL. Desir is one of the Jets' top defenders and has registered 37 tackles, including 29 solo. He has 1.5 tackles for loss, six pass breakups and three picks, including one returned for a touchdown. 

Offensively, the Jets are led by quarterback Sam Darnold, who is looking for his fifth straight road game with a touchdown pass. Darnold can also make plays with his feet and is third on the team in rushing with 14 carries for 117 yards (8.4 average) and one touchdown.

How to make Jets vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Mahomes will pass for more than 300 yards and three touchdowns, while Darnold will throw for nearly 200 yards and a score. It has also generated a strong against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick here

So who wins Jets vs. Chiefs? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jets vs. Chiefs spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,800 on its NFL picks over the past five seasons, and find out.

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