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Odds of tropical depression forming remain high as wave takes aim at Florida

Orlando Sentinel logoOrlando Sentinel 5 days ago Joe Mario Pedersen
© Provided by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services

There’s a high chance that a tropical wave moving toward the Bahamas and Florida could become a tropical depression in the next two-to-five days; which could then grow into tropical Tropical Storm Humberto.

The wave has a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. The odds rise to 70 percent over the next five days, the NHC said.

“Although limited development of this system is anticipated tonight and Thursday, conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for tropical cyclone formation over the weekend, and a tropical depression is likely to form as the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest across the Florida Straits and southeastern Florida, and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico,” the National Hurricane Center said in its 8 p.m. advisory.

a close up of a map © Provided by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services

The wave, over the Turks and Caicos, has a 50 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. The odds rise to 70 percent over the next five days, the NHC said.

Should the system organize into a tropical depression it will be the ninth recorded depression of the year, and if it then grows to maintain at least 39 mph sustained winds, it would become Tropical Storm Humberto.

The system is expected to bring heavy rainfall and thunderstorms over the Bahamas Friday, the NHC reported.

Tropical-storm-force wind gusts have been reported in some of the heavier squalls.

Florida is expected to receive some winds and thunderstorms this weekend, said WOFL-Fox 35 meteorologist Jayme King.

“Much of the Florida Peninsula will be on the Eastern side of the system,” King said. “This will provide the area with increasing breezes and periods of heavy tropical rainfall Friday-Sunday.”

A tropical depression could form as the system moves through the Florida Straits where environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for tropical transformation this weekend.

There is another systems with low chance of experiencing tropical maturity in the next two-to-five days, the NHC showed.

It is located just off the Cabo Verde Islands and is quickly moving west. The NHC expects to see slow development over the weekend where it has a 40 percent chance of tropical development. The NHC was monitoring another wave, about 600 miles of the Less Antilles, but said it was not expected to form into a storm.

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