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Why Victoria's 14-day average is pivotal to reopening

9News.com.au logo 9News.com.au 28/09/2020 Chanel Zagon

Victoria's 14-day rolling average has never been more pivotal to the state progressing to its next steps out of lockdown after key roadmap dates were replaced with a "trigger point" system yesterday.

The change in the way the roadmap operates means specific dates will no longer apply for metropolitan Melbourne to move to step three, with the state instead turning to the data of the 14-day average.

However, October 19 has been flagged as a potential date for restrictions to ease – which is earlier than the pencilled in date of October 26 originally given.

READ MORE: Victoria records lowest number of COVID-19 cases in three months

Melbourne moved to step two of the roadmap today, which saw the nightly curfew abolished.

In order for Melbourne to move to step three, Victoria must achieve daily average case numbers of less than five, as well as less than five cases with an unknown source in the past 14 days.

"The number of cases must be low enough to move to the next step. This is a trigger point for public health review," the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) website reads.

https://twitter.com/VicGovDHHS/status/1310347610201436160

While regional Victoria cannot move to the last step until there are no new cases for 14 days across the state.

Premier Daniel Andrews described the state's plummeting rolling 14-day average – which sits at 20.3 for Melbourne and 0.6 for regional Victoria – as a "very significant" set of numbers.

"We are well ahead of schedule," he said today.

READ MORE: Melbourne's second step - complete list of changes


Video: Victoria's coronavirus numbers give the Premier 'great optimism' (ABC NEWS)

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"Today's numbers are proof positive, beyond any doubt, that this strategy is working.

"This is the lowest daily case number for a very long time and it's not so long ago that we were reporting not five cases, but 725 cases.

"We've come a long way. Victorians have given a lot. They have sacrificed a lot. And I am proud and deeply grateful for the work that every single Victorian is doing in partnership with me and a massive team of dedicated workers."

READ MORE: All your Melbourne step two questions answered

Daniel Andrews holding a sign posing for the camera: Monday September 28: Victoria has recorded its lowest daily case number in more than three months with five new COVID-19 cases and three deaths. Monday September 28: Victoria has recorded its lowest daily case number in more than three months with five new COVID-19 cases and three deaths.

A substantial amount of restrictions could be lifted come October 19, Mr Andrews said.

"We just have to see it through … as difficult as it is to live under these restrictions, albeit with modifications yesterday, for another three weeks," he said.

"If we can do it, and I'm confident that we can, we will be able to take big steps in just three weeks."

What step three would entail:

  • No restrictions on leaving home
  • Spend time with others outside where possible
  • Public gatherings: up to 10 people
  • Visitors allowed at home from one other household (up to five people)
  • Schools will see a potential staged return for onsite learning for remainder years
  • Hospitality open for predominantly outdoor seated service only
  • All retail open, except personal care (hairdressers open)

You can get up-to-date information from the Federal Government's Coronavirus Australia app, available on the App Store, Google Play and the Government's WhatsApp channel.

Beyond Blue's Coronavirus Mental Wellbeing Support Service is a 24/7 service free of charge to all Australians.

Visit the site here or call 1800512348. For coronavirus breaking news alerts and livestreams straight to your smartphone sign up to the 9News app and set notifications to on at the App Store or Google Play.

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