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Goldman Sachs sees double-digit returns in emerging market junk

Reuters logo Reuters 9/10/2020
a close up of a sign: FILE PHOTO: The Goldman Sachs company logo is seen in the company's space on the floor of the NYSE in New York © Reuters/Brendan McDermid FILE PHOTO: The Goldman Sachs company logo is seen in the company's space on the floor of the NYSE in New York

LONDON (Reuters) - Analysts at Goldman Sachs have forecast double-digit returns on high yield - also known as junk - emerging market bonds over next 12 months if the world gets over its coronavirus worries.

"We continue to think EM HY sovereigns offer the best risk-adjusted total return opportunity: our 12m target of ~600bp for EM HY spreads (from ~730bp currently) implies double-digit total return potential," Goldman said in a note on Thursday.


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The investment bank also forecast emerging market governments would issue at least $150 billion of dollar-denominated debt this year as they look to tackle the crisis, though it could be even higher.

(Reporting by Marc Jones, editing by Karin Strohecker)

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