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COVID-19: How Cases in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

24/7 Wall St. logo 24/7 Wall St. 9/23/2021 Evan Comen

a group of people standing in front of a building © Provided by 24/7 Wall St. The U.S. reported over 1,026,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending September 21, bringing the total count to more than 41.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 669,000 COVID-19-related deaths -- the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 47.3 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans -- essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 48.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA metro area consists of just San Diego County. As of September 21, there were 10,531.3 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 San Diego residents, 18.7% lower than the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 12,954.8 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad metro area, unemployment peaked at 15.3% in May 2020. As of May 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 6.9%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in California where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it's still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of September 21 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of September 21 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of September 21 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of September 21 per 100,000 residents
41860 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA 4,701,332 332,723 7,077.2 3,698 78.7
42100 Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA 273,962 20,134 7,349.2 211 77.0
41940 San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 1,987,846 147,472 7,418.7 1,908 96.0
42220 Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA 499,772 39,376 7,878.8 376 75.2
34900 Napa, CA 139,623 12,246 8,770.8 95 68.0
17020 Chico, CA 225,817 21,205 9,390.3 230 101.9
40900 Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA 2,315,980 221,338 9,557.0 2,800 120.9
42200 Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA 444,829 43,065 9,681.2 500 112.4
46700 Vallejo, CA 441,829 44,061 9,972.4 312 70.6
42020 San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA 282,165 28,273 10,020.0 313 110.9
41740 San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 3,316,073 349,227 10,531.3 4,006 120.8
41500 Salinas, CA 433,410 49,445 11,408.4 565 130.4
39820 Redding, CA 179,212 20,647 11,521.0 276 154.0
37100 Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 847,263 97,623 11,522.2 1,120 132.2
49700 Yuba City, CA 172,469 22,289 12,923.5 214 124.1
44700 Stockton, CA 742,603 97,162 13,084.0 1,615 217.5
31080 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 13,249,614 1,757,656 13,265.7 31,203 235.5
23420 Fresno, CA 984,521 135,647 13,778.0 1,889 191.9
31460 Madera, CA 155,433 21,672 13,943.0 258 166.0
32900 Merced, CA 271,382 39,279 14,473.7 535 197.1
33700 Modesto, CA 543,194 80,034 14,734.0 1,229 226.3
12540 Bakersfield, CA 887,641 134,397 15,140.9 1,515 170.7
40140 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 4,560,470 704,453 15,446.9 10,303 225.9
47300 Visalia, CA 461,898 72,812 15,763.7 896 194.0
20940 El Centro, CA 180,701 34,235 18,945.7 755 417.8
25260 Hanford-Corcoran, CA 150,691 30,038 19,933.5 285 189.1

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