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COVID-19: How Cases in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

24/7 Wall St. logo 24/7 Wall St. 10/23/2021 Evan Comen

© Provided by 24/7 Wall St. The U.S. reported over 551,000 new cases of coronavirus over the seven days ending October 21, bringing the total count to more than 44.8 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 724,000 COVID-19-related deaths -- the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 27.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans -- essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 28.1 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA metro area consists of just San Diego County. As of October 21, there were 11,014.6 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 San Diego residents, 20.7% lower than the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 13,893.5 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad metro area, unemployment peaked at 15.3% in May 2020. As of May 2021, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 6.9%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in California where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it's still getting worse).

FIPS MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of October 21 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of October 21 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of October 21 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of October 21 per 100,000 residents
41860 San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA 4,701,332 346,032 7,360.3 3,889 82.7
42100 Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA 273,962 20,943 7,644.5 218 79.6
41940 San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 1,987,846 152,543 7,673.8 1,967 99.0
42220 Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA 499,772 40,865 8,176.7 402 80.4
34900 Napa, CA 139,623 12,864 9,213.4 100 71.6
42200 Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA 444,829 45,047 10,126.8 522 117.3
40900 Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA 2,315,980 235,305 10,160.1 3,111 134.3
46700 Vallejo, CA 441,829 45,934 10,396.3 340 77.0
17020 Chico, CA 225,817 23,673 10,483.3 265 117.4
42020 San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA 282,165 29,837 10,574.3 331 117.3
41740 San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 3,316,073 365,253 11,014.6 4,170 125.8
41500 Salinas, CA 433,410 50,792 11,719.2 583 134.5
37100 Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 847,263 100,849 11,902.9 1,165 137.5
39820 Redding, CA 179,212 23,574 13,154.3 349 194.7
31080 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 13,249,614 1,802,990 13,607.9 31,977 241.3
44700 Stockton, CA 742,603 102,341 13,781.4 1,721 231.8
49700 Yuba City, CA 172,469 23,880 13,846.0 254 147.3
23420 Fresno, CA 984,521 145,378 14,766.4 2,063 209.5
31460 Madera, CA 155,433 23,720 15,260.6 285 183.4
32900 Merced, CA 271,382 42,089 15,509.1 579 213.4
33700 Modesto, CA 543,194 85,750 15,786.3 1,325 243.9
40140 Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 4,560,470 728,247 15,968.7 10,614 232.7
12540 Bakersfield, CA 887,641 145,227 16,361.0 1,616 182.1
47300 Visalia, CA 461,898 79,627 17,239.1 958 207.4
20940 El Centro, CA 180,701 35,832 19,829.4 764 422.8
25260 Hanford-Corcoran, CA 150,691 32,649 21,666.2 320 212.4

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