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Why Alibaba Stock Fell Another 14.4% in August

The Motley Fool logo The Motley Fool 9/5/2021 Billy Duberstein
a man wearing a suit and tie talking on a cell phone: Why Alibaba Stock Fell Another 14.4% in August © Provided by The Motley Fool Why Alibaba Stock Fell Another 14.4% in August

What happened

Shares of Chinese tech giant Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE: BABA) fell 14.4% in August, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Although Alibaba was the first large China tech company to be slapped with fines and regulations beginning late last year, the punishment continued in July, when it fell 13.9%, and into August, as the stock fell another 14.4%.

The culprits behind Alibaba's continued August malaise were an earnings report that missed expectations on the top line, as well as the continued, intensifying regulatory assault on China's internet giants.

a man wearing a suit and tie talking on a cell phone: Alibaba's stock has had a brutal summer. © Getty Images Alibaba's stock has had a brutal summer.

So what

Early in the month, Alibaba reported quarterly earnings that beat profit expectations, but missed on top-line revenue. With sentiment so low, mixed results were likely enough to worry investors that regulations are beginning to bite into the company's financials.

Alibaba had previously used its first-mover advantage to box out rivals, often forcing brands into exclusivity contracts in order to access its market-leading e-commerce platform. But it was fined $2.8 billion in April for violating anti-monopoly rules and was ordered to stop that practice. The ending of forced exclusivity could strengthen ascendant challengers in the e-commerce space, so seeing Alibaba's revenue come in a bit lighter than expected was not a great sign.

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As the month progressed, things didn't get any easier. In mid-August, the State Administration for Market Regulation issued a comprehensive list of rules that forbid tech giants from illegally capturing and using customer data, or using technology to bar access to competitors' products. As one of the larger and more powerful "legacy" tech platforms in China, Alibaba probably has more to lose on these fronts than competitors, as the rules are meant to level the playing field. The Ministry of Transportation also began work on rules to ensure the welfare of delivery drivers, which could affect food delivery costs for Alibaba subsidiaries and Freshippo.

Now what

The slew of new regulations will no doubt hurt Alibaba's financials. But it's not like the company is going away anytime soon. After all, revenue did grow 34% last quarter, though it was only 22% when stripping out the effect of Alibaba's consolidating Sun Art retail.

After this brutal rout, the stock sure looks cheap, trading around 17.9 times this year's earnings estimates -- and this is including a significant net cash position and tens of billions of minority investments in other companies. Alibaba's stock had already attracted famous value investors Charlie Munger and Bill Miller earlier in the year, and its stock is much cheaper now. Therefore, for those comfortable with the risk of holding Chinese stocks, it's well worth a look.


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Billy Duberstein owns shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. His clients may own shares of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


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