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Lauren Boebert 'Feeling the Heat,' Says Challenger as Poll Shows Close Race

Newsweek 10/5/2022 Ewan Palmer
In this combination image, Democratic candidate for the Third Congressional District for Colorado Adam Frisch speaks during an appearance on the campus of the University of Colorado-Pueblo Wednesday, Sept. 28, 2022 and Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo. © AP In this combination image, Democratic candidate for the Third Congressional District for Colorado Adam Frisch speaks during an appearance on the campus of the University of Colorado-Pueblo Wednesday, Sept. 28, 2022 and Rep. Lauren Boebert, R-Colo.

Representative Lauren Boebert's Democratic midterm challenger said that she is "feeling the heat" after a recent poll showed the Colorado Republican is at risk of losing her seat.

A Keating Research survey showed that Boebert's lead over her rival Adam Frisch in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District has been cut to just 2 percent, with the incumbent receiving support from 47 percent of likely voters compared to Frisch's 45 percent.

The poll surveyed 500 likely November 2022 voters between September 28–October 2. It has a +4.4-percentage point margin of error, meaning the pair is currently at a statistical tie with just over a month until November's elections take place.

In a video posted on Twitter, Frisch described how his campaign had some "nationally [breaking] news" while noting he is now tied with Boebert, having been seven points behind her in the previous Keating poll conducted in July.

"We couldn't have done this without each and every one of you. Let's keep the pressure on Lauren Boebert as I know she's feeling the heat after this news! Chip in today to make her even more nervous!" Frisch tweeted.

According to a memo released by Keating Research, the previously little-known Frisch is becoming more popular as he becomes more familiar to voters.

The latest poll shows the Democrat is seen as favorable with 38 percent of voters—a 15-point increase since July—while 28 percent have an unfavorable view.

He also is seen favorably with potentially key unaffiliated voters (44 percent favorable, 20 percent unfavorable), women (42 percent favorable, 24 percent unfavorable), as well as a majority of voters who consider themselves moderate—60 percent favorable to 13 unfavorable.

In comparison, the controversial GOP congresswoman "continues to divide voters" and her favorability ratings are now underwater, according to Keating.

The survey shows that 47 percent of voters have a favorable view of Boebert while 49 percent have an unfavorable view.

The polling group also noted that Boebert's ratings with key voting groups have "soured substantially" in recent months, as 62 percent of unaffiliated voters and 55 percent of women now have an unfavorable view of Boebert.

Speaking to Axios, Chris Keating, president and founder of Keating Research, said that Boebert's favorability rating being under 50 percent means that she is "vulnerable to losing this race."

In 2020, Boebert won the Colorado seat as a political newcomer with 51 percent of the vote, beating her Democrat rival Diane Mitsch Bush by 6 points.

In a statement, a spokesperson for Boebert's campaign team told Newsweek: "Adam Frisch is a lying Aspen liberal desperately willing to say or do anything to join Nancy Pelosi in Congress.

"Congresswoman Lauren Boebert will win this election and help fire Nancy Pelosi once and for all."

Forecasters predict that Boebert is still the overwhelming favorite to win re-election in the midterms.

According to FiveThirtyEight, Boebert has a 98 percent chance of winning Colorado's 3rd district in November.

The Cook Political Report also rates Boebert's district as R+7, meaning it should be a safe seat for the GOP.

Update 10/5/2022 10:13 a.m. ET: This article has been updated with comments from Lauren Boebert's team.

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