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Ron DeSantis Beats Donald Trump in 2024 Poll of Florida GOP Voters

Newsweek logo Newsweek 7/13/2022 Ewan Palmer
Ron DeSantis speaks with Donald Trump at a campaign rally at the Pensacola International Airport on November 3, 2018 in Pensacola, Florida. © Getty Images/Mark Wallheiser Ron DeSantis speaks with Donald Trump at a campaign rally at the Pensacola International Airport on November 3, 2018 in Pensacola, Florida.

Ron DeSantis is the clear winner over Donald Trump among Florida Republicans when asked who they would like as the GOP presidential nomination 2024, according to a poll.

The survey, conducted by Blueprint Polling, found 50.9 percent of those asked back or lean towards the Florida governor, with the former president behind on 38.6 percent.

When broken down to just those who are firm on their stance, DeSantis' lead extends to nearly 14 points (47.6 percent to 33.2 percent) in a scenario in which the pair ended up as the final two choices in the GOP primary.

"Older Republicans are more likely to support Trump, but DeSantis still leads the former president in all age groupings," a poll summary read.

"Trump is tied with DeSantis among voters with some college but among high school graduates as well as college graduates and those with advanced degrees, DeSantis polls much better."

Meanwhile, sixty-six percent of respondents agreed that Florida Republicans believe that widespread election fraud cost Trump the 2020 election, while 11 percent said Florida Republicans do not believe but "will go along with the rhetoric" because it energizes Republicans in upcoming elections. Trump has repeatedly pushed election fraud claims without any evidence.

The new survey comes after another statewide survey of GOP voters, by the University of New Hampshire, in June suggested DeSantis led Trump 39 percent to 37 percent.


Video: DeSantis closes the gap with Trump in early GOP primary polling (MSNBC)

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Republican voters also thought DeSantis has a better chance of beating Joe Biden at the next election than the former president does, the New Hampshire poll revealed.

Speculation DeSantis is preparing for a 2024 run, almost certainly against Trump, is rife, with some commentators suggesting the governor is trying to distance himself from the ex-president as a result.

While Trump is still the overwhelming favorite the cling the GOP nomination should he chose to run, a recent poll conducted by The New York Times/Siena College suggested his support has started to weaken, with less than half (49 percent) of GOP voters now backing him as their preferred choice.

While still a distant second at 25 percent in The Times' survey, DeSantis' polls have been improving in recent months, with key Republican donors also reported to have decided the Florida governor should lead the party in 2024 after growing weary of the negative attention which follows Trump.

The Blueprint Polling survey of 656 voters was conducted between July 7-10, with a margin of error of +/- 3.82 percent.

Blueprint Polling is a sister company to Chism Strategies that conducts survey research in federal, state, and local elections. Chism Strategies, founded in 2013, is a strategic communications firm that deals with Democratic and progressive campaigns.

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