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2021 Bermuda Championship odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called seven majors

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 10/26/2021 CBS Sports Staff
Patrick Reed wearing a blue shirt: MAMARONECK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 17: Justin Thomas of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the first round of the 120th U.S. Open Championship on September 17, 2020 at Winged Foot Golf Club in Mamaroneck, New York. © Provided by CBS Sports

MAMARONECK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 17: Justin Thomas of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the first round of the 120th U.S. Open Championship on September 17, 2020 at Winged Foot Golf Club in Mamaroneck, New York.

Brian Gay will look to defend his title when the 2021 Bermuda Championship tees off on Thursday from Port Royal Golf Course in Southampton, Bermuda. Gay stunned the PGA with a 15-under par performance in 2020, helping him claim his first PGA Tour triumph since 2013. He'll take on a Bermuda Championship 2021 field that includes players such as Patrick Reed, Matthew Fitzpatrick and Danny Willett.

Gay, who had to withdraw from the Shriners Children's Open in his last outing, is going off as a 70-1 long shot to repeat according to the latest 2021 Bermuda Championship odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Fitzpatrick is listed as the 12-1 favorite on the PGA odds board, with Christiaan Bezuidenhout (16-1) and Reed (22-1) close behind. Before locking in your 2021 Bermuda Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it's up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

At the 2021 Open Championship, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. He was also all over Daniel Berger (+220) and Emiliano Grillo (+700) finishing inside the top-20. McClure's best bets netted over $2,200 at the 2021 Open Championship.

In addition, McClure's model was all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. And at the 2021 Masters, McClure nailed Rahm's (+250) top-five finish in his best bets, as well as Corey Conners' (+550) top-10 showing.  

This same model has also nailed a whopping seven majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2021 Bermuda Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2021 Bermuda Championship leaderboard.

The model's top 2021 Bermuda Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2021 Bermuda Championship: Patrick Reed, a nine-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn't even crack the top five. Reed has struggled mightily in his first two events of the 2021-22 season. In fact, Reed missed the cut earlier this month at the Shriners Children's Open and finished T-68 at the CJ Cup the following week. 

The former Masters champion is often among the best putters on the PGA Tour, but he's been extremely inconsistent with the flat stick early this season. Reed enters the 2021 Bermuda Championship ranked 135th in strokes gained: putting (-.068), 137th in putting average (1.750) and 109th in total putting (214.8). Reed also ranks 172nd in greens in regulation percentage (66.67), 177th in birdie average (3,67) and 211th in scoring average (74.286). He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Bermuda Championship 2021 field.

Another surprise: Seamus Power, a 35-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Power doesn't explode off the tee quite as much as some of the other top contenders, but he enters this week's event ranked inside the top-20 in a number of important statistical categories. The 34-year-old ranks 17th in driving accuracy percentage (70.24) and 19th in greens in regulation percentage (75.93). Power's ability to consistently find the green in regulation has allowed him to rack up 29 birdies in six rounds this season, making the Irishman a great choice for 2021 Bermuda Championship bets.

How to make 2021 Bermuda Championship picks

The model is also targeting five other golfers with odds longer than 35-1 who will make surprising runs, including an epic long shot going off higher than 50-1. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the Bermuda Championship 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Bermuda Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed seven golf majors and is up almost $10,000 since the restart.

2021 Bermuda Championship odds

Matthew Fitzpatrick 12-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 16-1

Patrick Reed 22-1

Mito Pereira 25-1

Hayden Buckley 28-1

Matthias Schwab 35-1

Takumi Kanaya 35-1

Seamus Power 35-1

Sahith Theegala 35-1

Adam Hadwin 35-1

Patrick Rodgers 40-1

Taylor Pendrith 40-1

Danny Willett 40-1

Chad Ramey 40-1

Guido Migliozzi 40-1

Denny McCarthy 40-1

Scott Stallings 45-1

Thomas Detry 45-1

Russell Knox 45-1

Garrick Higgo 45-1

David Lipsky 45-1

Ryan Armour 45-1

Stephan Jaeger 45-1

Joseph Bramlett 50-1

Peter Uihlein 50-1

Alex Smalley 60-1

Dylan Frittelli 60-1

Nick Watney 60-1

Mark Hubbard 60-1

Nick Hardy 60-1

Hank Lebioda 60-1

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66-1

Nick Taylor 66-1

Lucas Herbert 66-1

Matthew NeSmith 66-1

Harry Hall 66-1

Aaron Rai 66-1

Austin Eckroar 70-1

Jason Dufner 70-1

Brian Gay 70-1

Kramer Hickok 70-1

Peter Malnati 70-1

Bo Hoag 80-1

Anirban Lahiri 80-1

Graeme McDowell 80-1

Sepp Straka 80-1

Ludvig Aberg 80-1

Brian Stuard 80-1

Beau Hossler 80-1

Greyson Sigg 80-1

Lee Hodges 80-1

Brandon Hagy 80-1

Davis Riley 90-1

Dawie Van Der Walt 90-1

David Hearn 90-1

Camilo Villegas 90-1

Kurt Kitayama 100-1

Seth Reeves 100-1

Cameron Percy 100-1

Adam Svensson 100-1

Vincent Whaley 100-1

Brandon Wu 125-1

Michael Gligic 125-1

Dylan Wu 125-1

Paul Barjon 125-1

Austin Cook 125-1

Luke Donald 125-1

Sean O'Hair 150-1

Max McGreevy 150-1

Jim Knous 150-1

Andrew Novak 150-1

David Skinns 150-1

Patrick Flavin 150-1

Danny Lee 150-1

Austin Smotherman 150-1

Vaughn Taylor 150-1

Justin Lower 150-1

Chase Seiffert 150-1

Erik Barnes 200-1

Scott Gutschewski 200-1

Ben Kohles 200-1

Fabian Gomez 200-1

Ben Martin 200-1

Sangmoon Bae 200-1

J.J. Spaun 200-1

Kyle Wilshire 250-1

Callum Tarren 250-1

John Pak 250-1

Bo Van Pelt 250-1

Ben Crane 250-1

Johnson Wagner 250-1

Scott Brown 250-1

David Lingmerth 250-1


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