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2022 FedEx Cup Playoffs odds, picks, predictions: Expert says avoid Sam Burns at FedEx St. Jude Championship

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 8/11/2022 CBS Sports Staff
Feb 24, 2019; Mexico City, MEX; Dustin Johnson plays his third shot from a bunker on the second hole during the final round of the WGC - Mexico Championship golf tournament at Club de Golf Chapultepec. © Provided by CBS Sports

Feb 24, 2019; Mexico City, MEX; Dustin Johnson plays his third shot from a bunker on the second hole during the final round of the WGC - Mexico Championship golf tournament at Club de Golf Chapultepec.

After a couple of the PGA Tour's weaker events of the season, things really ramp up this week with the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis. Tenn. It is the first event of the PGA Tour's FedExCup Playoffs, and TPC Southwind should be a tough initial test. The course plays longer than advertised, and the narrow fairways, doglegs and water hazards will separate the contenders from the pretenders. Scottie Scheffler sits atop the FedExCup standings – and the world rankings – but the Masters champ's lead isn't safe. He has a 1,220-point lead over second-place Cameron Smith, but this week's winner earns 2,000 points. That means Smith and the rest of the top five – Sam Burns, Xander Schauffele and reigning FedExCup champ Patrick Cantlay – have a good chance. Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, Jon Rahm and Jordan Spieth are among the many stars who also could make a big move with a victory. The top 125 players in the standings qualified, and the field will be pared down to 30 over the next two weeks. The FedExCup and the $18 million final prize will be awarded after the Tour Championship, set for Aug. 25-28 at East Lake in Atlanta.         

There are eight golfers priced at 20-1 or shorter in the latest 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds from Caesars Sportsbook. McIlroy is the 10-1 favorite, followed by Scheffler (14-1) and Smith (16-1). Cantlay (18-1), Rahm (18-1), Thomas (18-1) and Schauffele (18-1) also are top contenders. Tony Finau, who has won his last two tournaments, is 20-1, while Burns is 25-1 and Spieth is in a group at 28-1. Before locking in any 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, you need to check out the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2022 predictions and best bets from golf insider Patrick McDonald.

After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. 

McDonald took a risk last week at the Wyndham Championship in fading Sedgefield Country Club ace Webb Simpson, who had nine top-10's in 13 appearances. Simpson had a rough week and was 2-over and headed for a missed cut before he withdrew.     

McDonald just missed on his longshot play at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, with 80-1 shot Taylor Pendrith battling for the lead all week until winner Tony Finau's dominant Sunday. He also pegged Pendrith as the first-round leader at 70-1, and the Canadian shared that honor with Finau.

Now, McDonald has studied the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship field and is locking in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of his 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks and predictions.

Top 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship expert picks

One shocking prediction from McDonald: Burns might not even make the cut after finishing as a runner-up last season. Burns shot 16 under par, including a pair of 64's, before losing in a playoff to Abraham Ancer in the 2021 WGC event. But he hasn't finished in the top 20 since June, and the hot putter that carried him last year – he was second in the field in strokes gained – is unlikely to return. "This number does not make much sense," the expert says of the 25-1 odds.

On the other hand, Sungjae Im is one player McDonald really recommends you back this week, especially at 35-1. The South Korean has gone 29 under par over his last two tournaments, finishing as a runner-up in both. He ranks ninth on tour in total strokes gained and fourth in scrambling. The combination of his strong play around the green and his long iron work (25th on approaches over 200 yards) make this course a perfect fit for the state of his game right now. See who else to pick at the FedEx St. Jude Championship here.

How to make 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship golf picks

Before this week's PGA Tour event in Memphis, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship. They include a longshot who comes in at massive triple-digit odds. This golfer is at his best with an iron in his hand and knows leaving his unpredictable driver in the bag is his best chance to pull off a shocking win. You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's FedEx Cup Playoff picks, over at SportsLine.

So which 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks should you target? Where does all the betting value lie for FedEx St. Jude Championship 2022? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for FedEx St. Jude Championship 2022, all from the expert who's up more than 52 units on outright plays in 2022, and find out.

2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, field

See full FedEx St. Jude Championship 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here

Rory McIlroy +1100

Scottie Scheffler +1400

Cameron Smith  +1600

Jon Rahm +1600

Justin Thomas +1600

Xander Schauffele  +1600

Patrick Cantlay +1600

Matt Fitzpatrick +2000

Tony Finau +2000

Sam Burns +2200

Collin Morikawa +2500

Jordan Spieth +2500

Will Zalatoris +2500

Cameron Young +2500

Viktor Hovland +3000

Hideki Matsuyama +3500

Sungjae Im +3500

Shane Lowry +3500

Billy Horschel +4000

Joohyung Kim +4500

Joaquin Niemann +5000

Max Homa +5000

Tyrrell Hatton +5500

Russell Henley +5500

Aaron Wise +6000

Corey Conners +6500

Davis Riley +7500

Taylor Pendrith +7500

Seamus Power +8000

Alex Noren +8000

Sahith Theegala +9000

Cam Davis +9000

Webb Simpson +9000

Harold Varner III +10000

Adam Scott +10000

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000

Adam Hadwin +10000

Scott Stallings +10000

Keith Mitchell +10000

J.T. Poston +10000

Mito Pereira +10000

Denny McCarthy +10000

Si Woo Kim +10000

Keegan Bradley +10000

Cameron Tringale +12500

Justin Rose +12500

Gary Woodland +12500

Chris Kirk +12500

Brian Harman +12500

Marc Leishman +15000

Matt Kuchar +15000

Maverick McNealy +15000

Jason Day +15000

Lucas Herbert +15000

Adam Long +15000

Alex Smalley +15000

Brendan Steele +15000

Wyndham Clark +17500

Emiliano Grillo +17500

Sebastian Munoz +17500

Tom Hoge +17500

Kevin Kisner +17500

Chez Reavie +17500

Taylor Moore +17500

Anirban Lahiri +20000

Brendon Todd +20000

Jhonattan Vegas +20000

Lee Hodges +20000

Stewart Cink +22500

Luke List +22500

Aaron Rai +22500

Mark Hubbard +22500

Kevin Streelman +22500

K.H. Lee +22500

Kurt Kitayama +22500

Brandon Wu +22500

Callum Tarren +22500

Matthew NeSmith +25000

John Huh +25000

Russell Knox +27500

Adam Svensson +27500

Troy Merritt +27500

Ryan Palmer +30000

J.J. Spaun +30000

Stephan Jaeger +30000

Martin Laird +30000

C.T. Pan +30000

Trey Mullinax +30000

Andrew Putnam +35000

Chesson Hadley +35000

Doug Ghim +40000

Beau Hossler +40000

Danny Lee +40000

Nate Lashley +40000

Hayden Buckley +40000

David Lipsky +40000

Peter Malnati +40000

Rickie Fowler +40000

Greyson Sigg +40000

Dylan Frittelli +40000

Joel Dahmen +40000

Patrick Rodgers +40000

Tyler Duncan +40000

Michael Thompson +50000

James Hahn +50000

Vince Whaley +50000

Adam Schenk +50000

Mackenzie Hughes +50000

Sam Ryder +50000

Scott Piercy +50000

Chad Ramey +50000

Sepp Straka +50000

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