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Fantasy Football Rankings 2022: Busts by computer model that called Julio Jones' disappointing year

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 9/8/2022 CBS Sports Staff
May 26, 2021; Owings Mills, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Rashod Bateman (12) in action during an OTA at Under Armour Performance Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports © Provided by CBS Sports

May 26, 2021; Owings Mills, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Rashod Bateman (12) in action during an OTA at Under Armour Performance Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports

Following Tom Brady (2020) and Matthew Stafford (2021), this year saw Matt Ryan ditch the only NFL team he'd ever known for presumably greener pastures. While Brady's and Stafford's seasons ended in Super Bowls, Ryan may be out to prove he still has gas in the tank. His streak of 10 straight years of 4,000 passing yards ended last season, as both his yards and touchdowns were the lowest since his rookie year. Will Ryan be rejuvenated with a new team just like the aforementioned quarterbacks, or will his decline continue leading him into being one of the 2022 Fantasy football busts? Ryan has a Fantasy football ADP 2022 that puts him in the 11th round in 12-team leagues, and he's sandwiched in between Tua Tagovailoa and Jameis Winston. Where does he belong in the 2022 Fantasy football rankings? As you begin your 2022 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2022 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, SportsLine's model accurately predicted that Titans wide receiver Julio Jones was being dramatically overvalued. He was being drafted around in the fifth round on average, but SportsLine predicted he wasn't even close to being one of the top 20 wide receivers. Jones wound up turning in an incredibly disappointing stat line, catching 31 passes for 434 yards and one touchdown. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and JuJu Smith-Schuster as Fantasy football bust last season. It also nailed Jonathan Taylor's big season and was all over Jaylen Waddle to outperform his Fantasy football ADP. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2022, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2022 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2022 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Steelers wide receiver Chase Claypool. He finished last season with 59 receptions for 860 yards, which were similar to his 2020 breakout numbers. However, he saw regression in the touchdown department, dropping from nine scores in 2020 to just two last season.

Claypool also suffered a shoulder injury in late July, which is another reason to avoid him in Fantasy football drafts. Teammate Diontae Johnson is the clear No. 1 target on the team, and the Steelers added a pair of rookie wide receivers in the draft. Claypool is being selected ahead of Donovan Peoples-Jones, Kenny Golladay and K.J. Osborn in most Fantasy leagues, but the model has all three of those wideouts ranked ahead of him.

Another bust that SportsLine's Fantasy football rankings 2022 have identified: Cowboys tight end Dalton Schultz. In his fourth season last year, Schultz broke out and had more catches (78), yards (808) and touchdowns (eight) than he had in his three previous seasons combined. However, the injury to LT Tyron Smith means Schultz' role will change in 2022 since he will be asked to help more as a blocker.

Last season, Smith played nine full games and Schultz averaged 55.8 yards in those contests. However, in the eight games Smith either missed or was hurt in, the tight end averaged just 38.2 yards. While Schultz is a strong pass-blocker, that doesn't mean anything in terms of Fantasy points. Smith's injury, which will keep him out until December, is a big reason why the model pegs Schultz as one of the 2022 Fantasy football busts. See which other Fantasy football busts 2022 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2022 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely low on a running back coming off the board in the third or fourth round on average of 2022 Fantasy football drafts. The model ranks him outside its top 24 running backs for 2022 and expects him to see major regression after a breakout season in 2021. You can only see who it is, and the 2022 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2022 Fantasy Football breakouts should you be targeting? And which RB will fail to live up to expectations in 2022? Visit SportsLine now to get 2022 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Julio Jones in 2021, and find out.

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