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Bucks vs. Bulls prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, Jan. 21 best bets from model on 56-30 run

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 1/21/2022 CBS Sports Staff
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Two Eastern Conference contenders square off at the Fiserv Forum on Friday evening. The Milwaukee Bucks host the Chicago Bulls, with both teams enjoying early-season success. The Bucks are 28-19 this season, and the Bulls enter at 28-15 through 43 games. Chicago currently sits atop the Eastern Conference standings, while Milwaukee sits in fourth. 

Tip-off is at 8 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bucks as 11-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 227.5 in the latest Bulls vs. Bucks odds. Before you make any Bucks vs. Bucks picks or NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bulls vs. Bucks and locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds betting lines for Bucks vs. Bulls:

  • Bulls vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -11
  • Bulls vs. Bucks over-under: 227.5 points 
  • Bulls vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -550, Bulls +400
  • CHI: The Bulls are 11-10 against the spread in road games 
  • MIL: The Bucks are 9-14 against the spread in home games
Featured Game| Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls

Why the Bulls can cover

Chicago's offense is what drives its overall success. The Bulls are scoring more than 1.12 points per possession this season, a top-five mark in the NBA, and Chicago is No. 2 in overall shooting efficiency. The Bulls are No. 2 in field goal percentage at 47.5 percent and No. 4 in free throw percentage at 81.0 percent, with Chicago leading the league in 3-point accuracy at 38.8 percent. 

The Bulls generate more than 24 assists per game with only 13.2 turnovers per contest, a tremendous ratio, and the Bucks are No. 29 in 3-pointers allowed with below-average assist prevention. On the other end, the Bulls are in the top 10 in 3-pointers allowed (11.4 per game) and turnovers created (14.3 per game), with Chicago creating 7.7 steals per game. Milwaukee is below-average in generating assists, and the Bulls can match up effectively.

Why the Bucks can cover

Milwaukee's defense is tremendous, ranking in the top eight of the NBA in several categories. The Bucks are elite in field goal percentage defense, 3-point percentage defense, free throw prevention, defensive rebounding and more. Chicago is also below-average in offensive rebound rate and free throw creation, helping Milwaukee's projection. 

In addition to the defensive profile, the Bucks are also strong on offense and facing a potentially vulnerable Bulls defense. Milwaukee is scoring 111.3 points per 100 possessions this season, a top-10 mark in the NBA, and the Bucks are elite in 3-point volume (14.3 3-pointers per game) and 3-point accuracy (36.2 percent). Milwaukee generates more than 21 free throw attempts per game, and Chicago is in the bottom 10 of the NBA in 3-point percentage allowed and free throw attempts allowed.

How to make Bulls vs. Bucks picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Bucks vs. Bulls picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Bulls vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bulls vs. Bucks spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 


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