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Suns vs. Cavaliers odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, May 4 predictions from model on 97-62 roll

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 5/4/2021 CBS Sports Staff
Chris Paul holding a football ball © Provided by CBS Sports

The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday in a matchup of teams going in different directions. Cleveland is on a six-game losing streak, falling to 21-43 on the season. Phoenix has won its last four games, bolstering an already impressive overall record of 46-18. The Suns are also a stunning 21-9 on the road in 2020-21. Darius Garland (ankle, out) and Larry Nance Jr. (ankle, out) headline a busy group of injury absences for the Cavaliers. Jae Crowder (ankle) and Abdel Nader (knee) are out for the Suns, while Cameron Payne (knee) is questionable. 

Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET in Cleveland. The latest Suns vs. Cavaliers odds list Phoenix as a 12.5-point favorite. The over-under for total points is set at 220. Before finalizing any Cavaliers vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned over $9,200 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,200 on its top-rated picks this season and entered Week 20 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 97-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Cavs. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Cavs vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Cavaliers spread: Suns -12.5
  • Suns vs. Cavaliers over-under: 220 points
  • Suns vs. Cavaliers money line: Suns -1100, Cavaliers +700
  • PHX: The Suns are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • CLE: The Cavaliers are 1-9 against the spread in the last 10 games
Featured Game| Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Phoenix Suns

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix is the more talented team by a wide margin in this matchup, and the Suns also have considerably more to play for at this juncture. Cleveland does have home-court advantage, but the Cavaliers are playing out the string, while the Suns are motivated to chase the No. 1 seed in the West. Phoenix is a top-seven team on both ends of the floor from an efficiency standpoint, and the Suns should also benefit from Cleveland's weaknesses. 

The Cavaliers are the No. 28 offensive team in the NBA, scoring only 1.05 points per possession, and they are also just No. 29 in shooting efficiency. Cleveland turns the ball over on almost 16 percent of its offensive possessions, No. 29 in the NBA, and that plays into Phoenix's hands. On the defensive side, the Cavaliers are better, but they still yield more than 1.12 points per possession, ranking No. 22 in the NBA in slowing their opponents. Phoenix's poise and steadiness should be highly effective against the youthful Cavaliers.

Why the Cavaliers can cover

Cleveland's offense is keyed by Collin Sexton, who is playing at a high level right now. Sexton has scored 20 points or more in 14 straight games, averaging 25.6 points per contest and shooting 50 percent from the floor during that run. The Cavaliers are also a top-eight offensive rebounding team, grabbing 10.5 per game, and they are above-average at generating free throw attempts, producing 21.8 shots per game at the charity stripe. 

Defensively, Cleveland is a top-five group at producing turnovers, including one of the best marks in the NBA in steals at 8.0 per game. The Cavs are excellent at quelling second-chance opportunities, and the Suns are a bottom-10 team in the NBA in offensive rebound rate (25.1 percent). Also, Cleveland lands in the top eight at preventing free throw attempts defensively, making that a tangible strength, and the Suns are just 29th in the NBA in free throw creation rate offensively.

How to make Cavaliers vs. Suns picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 222 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Cavaliers vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a roll on NBA picks.


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