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Warriors vs. Suns odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Dec. 3 predictions, best bets from model on 117-77 roll

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 12/4/2021 CBS Sports Staff
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The Golden State Warriors welcome the Phoenix Suns (19-3) to the Chase Center for a highly-anticipated matchup on Friday. The matchup is the second game between the Warriors and Suns this week, with Phoenix holding serve at home on Tuesday. Phoenix, currently riding an 18-game winnings streak, is 9-1 in road games and operating on the second night of a back-to-back, with Golden State at 18-3 overall and on regular rest. James Wiseman (knee), Klay Thompson (Achilles) and Andre Iguodala (knee) remain sidelined for the Warriors, with Devin Booker (hamstring) expected to miss the game for the Suns.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a seven-point home favorite for this 10 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 216 in the latest Suns vs. Warriors odds. Before making any Warriors vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Suns and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Warriors.

  • Suns vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -7
  • Suns vs. Warriors over-under: 216 points
  • Suns vs. Warriors money line: Warriors -300, Suns +240
  • PHX: The Suns are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 road games
  • GSW: The Warriors are 9-2-1 against the spread in the last 12 home games

Why the Suns can cover


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Phoenix put together a tremendous performance in defeating Golden State on Tuesday. The Suns held the Warriors to a season-low 96 points in that matchup, producing 12 steals and creating 23 turnovers in the game. On offense, Phoenix shot 40 percent from 3-point distance and generated 28 assists, with Deandre Ayton playing at a high level. Ayton scored 24 points, grabbed 11 rebounds and blocked two shots in the game, with impressive switching defense that helped to neutralize Golden State's attack.

For the season, Phoenix also has a top-three defensive rating in the NBA and a top-six offensive rating, laying out the team's two-way brilliance. The Suns are in the top five in shooting efficiency, and Phoenix is also producing nearly two assists for every turnover, a top-10 mark in that all-important statistic.

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors lost the first matchup against the Suns, but Golden State still has the best statistical profile of any NBA team. The Warriors are out-scoring opponents by 12.6 points per 100 possessions, and Stephen Curry is the current frontrunner for NBA MVP honors. Curry is averaging 27.8 points, 6.6 assists and 5.7 rebounds per game, and he is the game's best shooter, knocking down 41.2 percent of 13.1 3-point attempts per game. 

Curry is the offensive engine for Golden State, and he is the central reason why the Warriors are scoring more than 1.12 points per possession this season. The Warriors also deploy a unique offense predicated on ball movement that revolves around Curry's gravity. Golden State is leading the NBA in assists (29.1 per game) and the Warriors are assisting on 70.6 percent of field goals this season, which is easily the highest mark in the league. The Warriors also dominate in transition, leading the NBA with 17.0 fast break points per contest.

How to make Suns vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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