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Nevada vs. UNLV odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 9 predictions from model on 26-11 run

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 10/29/2021 CBS Sports Staff
Oct 24, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets helmet on the field before a game against the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Dodd Stadium. © Provided by CBS Sports

Oct 24, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets helmet on the field before a game against the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Dodd Stadium.

The Nevada Wolf Pack will try to keep pace in the West Division of the Mountain West Conference when they host the rival UNLV Rebels on Friday night at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nev. The preseason favorite to win the West, the Wolf Pack (5-2, 2-1 in Mountain West Conference) enter Friday one game behind division-leading San Diego State (7-0, 3-0). Those two teams will meet on Nov. 13. To remain in the hunt for the West title, Nevada cannot afford a loss to UNLV (0-7, 0-3), which sits in last place in the division. 

Kickoff is 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Wolf Pack are 20-point favorites in the latest Nevada vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 58. Before making any UNLV vs. Nevada picks, be sure to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Nevada vs. UNLV and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model's CFB picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for UNLV vs. Nevada:  

  • Nevada vs. UNLV spread: Wolf Pack -20
  • Nevada vs. UNLV over-under: 58 points 
  • Nevada vs. UNLV money line: Wolf Pack -1400, Rebels +800
  • NEV: The Wolf Pack rank third in the country in passing yards per game (379.4) 
  • UNLV: RB Charles Williams averages 102.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is second in the conference
Featured Game| Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Rebels
Moneyline
Spread
Total
NEVADA
-1400
BET NOW
-20
-110
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o58
-110
BET NOW
UNLV
+800
BET NOW
+20
-110
BET NOW
u58
-110
BET NOW

Why the Wolf Pack can cover

Quarterback Carson Strong has had a prolific start to the season. A 6-foot-4 junior from Vacaville, Calif., Strong leads the conference and ranks fourth in the FBS in passing yards per game (352.3). He also ranks in the top 10 in the country in completion percentage (70.4), completions per game (30.86), passing touchdowns (20) and total offense (337.9 yards per game).

In addition, Nevada faces a UNLV offense that has struggled this season. The Rebels average just 296.7 yards per game, which ranks 11th in the conference and 123rd in the country. They also average 19.6 points per game, which is 11th in the Mountain West and 118th in the FBS.

Why the Rebels can cover

UNLV has one of the best running backs in the conference in Williams. A 5-foot-9 super senior from Fresno, Calif., Williams averages 102.7 rushing yards per game this season, which is second in the Mountain West and 20th in the FBS. In his last two games against Nevada, Williams has averaged 118.5 rushing yards a game and 6.1 yards per rush.

In addition the Rebels' record isn't entirely indicative of how they've played. Though the team is winless in seven games, five of those losses -- including the last four -- have been by one score. In the last two weeks the Rebels led entering the fourth quarter only to lose.

How to make Nevada vs. UNLV picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 63 points. It also has an against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's UNLV vs. Nevada pick at SportsLine.

So who wins UNLV vs. Nevada? And which side is covering almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nevada vs. UNLV spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 26-11 run on top-rated picks, and find out.

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