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2023 Farmers Insurance Open props, best bets, odds: Sleepers, head-to-head golf matchup picks from PGA expert

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 1/25/2023 CBS Sports Staff
OWINGS MILLS, MARYLAND - AUGUST 27: Bryson DeChambeau of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club on August 27, 2021 in Owings Mills, Maryland. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images) © Provided by CBS Sports

OWINGS MILLS, MARYLAND - AUGUST 27: Bryson DeChambeau of the United States plays his shot from the second tee during the second round of the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club on August 27, 2021 in Owings Mills, Maryland. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

The PGA Tour stays on the west coast this week for the Farmers Insurance Open 2023, which is set to tee off on Wednesday, Jan. 25 at Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego. 2021 U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm, who is after his third straight victory, headlines the Farmers Insurance Open field. Rahm is list as the 4-1 favorite in the Farmers Insurance Open odds, and is followed by Xander Schauffele (12-1), and Collin Morikawa (12-1). Other top contenders in the Farmers field include Tony Finau (12-1), Justin Thomas (13-1), Will Zalatoris (14-1), and Sungjae Im (20-1).

Which players should you target when building your Farmers Insurance Open prop bet betting strategy? And which sleepers should you target for a potentially huge payday? Before locking in any Farmers Insurance Open 2023 picks of your own, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Farmers Insurance Open prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick.

Top 2023 Farmers Insurance Open prop picks

One of McClure's favorite prop bets this week for the Farmers Insurance Open 2023 is world No. 9 Justin Thomas finishing in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at -120 odds (risk $120 to win $100). Thomas, a two-time major champion, has long been one of the most talented overall players on the PGA Tour, and he has a proven track record that shows he is a threat to win any tournament he enters.

Despite his recent form, Thomas is still arguably the top irons player in the world today, and he is elite around the greens. The 29-year-old ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green (0.852) and eighth in greens in regulation (76.39%) and birdie average (5.0). If he gets his putter working this week at Torrey Pines, Thomas will be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20 this week. You can see the rest of McClure's Farmers Insurance Open prop bet picks at SportsLine.

Find more 2023 Farmers Insurance Open picks, sleepers

McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Farmers Insurance Open 2023, including a long shot listed at 28-1 to win it all. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Farmers Insurance Open sleepers could hit it big. You can only see his Farmers Insurance Open best bets at SportsLine.

So what 2023 Farmers Insurance Open prop picks should you target this week? And which massive long shot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Farmers Insurance Open best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out.

2023 Farmers Insurance Open odds, field, top contenders

See the full 2023 Farmers Insurance Open picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Jon Rahm +400

Xander Schauffele +1200

Collin Morikawa +1200

Tony Finau +1200

Justin Thomas +1300

Will Zalatoris +1400

Sungjae Im +2000

Max Homa +2200

Taylor Montgomery +2600

Jason Day +2700

Hideki Matsuyama +3100

Si Woo Kim +3300

Sahith Theegala +4200

Maverick Mcnealy +4200

Cameron Davis +4500

J.J. Spaun +5000

Justin Rose +5000

Keegan Bradley +5000

Harris English +6000

Scott Stallings +6500

Hayden Buckley +7000

Luke List +7500

Alex Smalley +7500

Taylor Pendrith +8500

Wyndham Clark +9500

Adam Hadwin +9500

Davis Thompson +9500

Kurt Kitayama +9500

Ryan Palmer +10000

Gary Woodland +10000

Rickie Fowler +10000

Adam Svensson +10000

Thomas Detry +10000

Davis Riley +11000

Patrick Rodgers +11000

Will Gordon +11000

Emiliano Grillo +11000

Robby Shelton +11000

Cameron Champ +12000

Dean Burmester +12000

Trey Mullinax +12000

Carson Young +12000

Nick Hardy +14000

S.H. Kim +14000

Aaron Rai +15000

Ben Taylor +15000

Charley Hoffman +15000

Byeong Hun An +15000

Ben Griffin +15000

Garrick Higgo +15000

Sebastian Munoz +15000

Kevin Yu +15000

Matthew NeSmith +15000

Lanto Griffin +16000

Stephan Jaeger +16000

Sam Ryder +16000

Beau Hossler +16000

Brendan Steele +17000

Matthias Schmid +19000

Justin Suh +19000

Callum Tarren +19000

Lee Hodges +20000

Patton Kizzire +20000

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