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Concacaf Gold Cup 2021 odds, picks, predictions: Mexico vs. Canada best bets from proven soccer expert

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 7/29/2021 CBS Sports Staff
Rogelio Funes Mori wearing a pink shirt: MONACO - NOVEMBER 21: Timo Werner of RB Leipzig celebrates scoring his sides second goal during the UEFA Champions League group G match between AS Monaco and RB Leipzig at Stade Louis II on November 21, 2017 in Monaco, Monaco. © Provided by CBS Sports

MONACO - NOVEMBER 21: Timo Werner of RB Leipzig celebrates scoring his sides second goal during the UEFA Champions League group G match between AS Monaco and RB Leipzig at Stade Louis II on November 21, 2017 in Monaco, Monaco.

Mexico is one win from earning a chance to defend its Gold Cup title and it takes on Canada in Thursday's 2021 Concacaf Gold Cup semifinal to reach the final stage. El Tri hasn't lost since it fell to the United States in June's Nations League final and is riding a three-game winning streak. Canada also last lost to the United States and will look to continue competing at a high level despite its injury woes.

Kickoff from NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, is set for 10 p.m ET. The latest Mexico vs. Canada odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Mexico at -182 (risk $182 to win $100) on the money line, while Canada is the +500 underdog. The over-under for total goals expected is set at 2.5. Before finalizing any Canada vs. Mexico picks or Gold Cup 2021 predictions, you need to see what consummate soccer insider Martin Green has to say

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken a close look at the Mexico vs. Canada matchup and revealed his Gold Cup 2021 picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the Gold Cup odds and betting trends for Canada vs. Mexico:  

  • Mexico vs. Canada: Mexico -0.5 (-170)
  • Mexico vs. Canada over-under: 2.5 goals (under -140, over +110)
  • Mexico vs. Canada 90-minute money line: Mexico -182, Canada +500, Draw +260
  • MEX: Mexico has lost one of its last 10 matches against Canada
  • CAN: Canada has been held scoreless in six of its last 10 games against Mexico.

Why you should back Mexico

Mexico might not have Napoli star Hirving Lozano at its disposal, but a slew of other players have powered El Tri to extend its impressive unbeaten streak. Its midfield is led by Atletico Madrid midfielder Héctor Herrera, Ajax's Edson Álvarez, and LA Galaxy star Jonathan dos Santos. Orbelín Pineda, Rogelio Funes Mori, and Jesus Corona form a strong front line that can test a Canadian side that'll have to plug in a new center back.

Canada is far from full strength and hasn't managed to get desirable results against Mexico when healthy. Mexico has won its last four matchups against Canada, and all four victories were by at least two goals. Expecting the undermanned and overworked underdogs to pull through seems like a reach given the history between these teams.

Why you should back Canada

Canada has overcome nearly every hurdle en route to the semifinal. Six different players have found the net for the underdogs, and unpredictability can be a strength. Stephen Eustáquio is still available and has contributed three goals to go along with one assist. Few players can match the 24-year-old midfielder's production, and he can be an important catalyst for Canada's attack by taking on a bigger role.

Canada hasn't faced an attacking team as talented as Mexico in this year's Gold Cup, but giving up no more than one goal per match is no small feat. Canada has won the possession battle by a significant margin in three of its four games, and controlling the pace could help keep this match close. Canada matched the United States squad that last beat Mexico after unexpectedly conceding in the second minute, and that shows that it can keep up with some of the more talented teams in the field.

How to make Canada vs. Mexico picks

Green has taken an in-depth look at the Canada vs. Mexico match. He's locked in three best bets, including one that returns plus-money. He's only sharing those picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Mexico vs. Canada? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Canada vs. Mexico match, all from the soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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