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2 p.m. Live Updates: Hurricane Ian still on track to hit Sarasota County, historic flooding possible

Sarasota Herald-Tribune 9/27/2022 Staff Report
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Quick Sarasota-Manatee Hurricane Ian links:

The projected path of Hurricane Ian, as of 2 p.m. Tuesday. © NHC The projected path of Hurricane Ian, as of 2 p.m. Tuesday.

2:00 p.m. | Hurricane Ian continues on path to Sarasota County

Hurricane Ian was 265 miles southwest of Sarasota, as of the 1 p.m. briefing from the National Weather Service in Ruskin. The Category 3 storm has 120 mph maximum winds and is moving north at 10 mph.

The forecast could see the storm make landfall in Venice in Sarasota County at 8 p.m Wednesday, as a Cat 3 hurricane with 125 mph winds and moving north-by-northeast at 7 mph.

The National Hurricane Center 2 p.m. update predicts a storm surge of 8-12 feet from north Sarasota County down to Bonita Beach in Collier County. Manatee County can expect a storm surge of 4-7 feet.

Rain is expected to be 12-16 inches across the area and could reach two feet in areas. 

"Widespread considerable flash and urban flooding are expected mid-to-late week across central and northern Florida," said the NHC.

Tropical storm winds will most likely arrive by 10 p.m. Tuesday in Charlotte County, by 1 a.m. Wednesday in Sarasota County, and by 4 a.m. Wednesday in Manatee County.

1:50 p.m. | Two Morton’s markets on Siesta Key and Sarasota closing at 5 p.m. Tuesday 

Todd Morton manned the 8,000-square-foot Morton’s Siesta Market at about 1:15 p.m. Tuesday. 

Part of the store has been boarded up and he plans to close both the Siesta Key location and the Morton's Gourmet Market in Southside Village in Sarasota about 5 p.m. Tuesday.

He is worried about losing power at the Sarasota location and concerned about the potential for storm surge on Siesta Key.

If that happens there’s no telling how long that location could be down.

During Hurricane Irma in 2017, Morton said the company lost power at all its locations and lost “a couple hundred thousand dollars” due to spoiled food. 

Workers at Morton’s Siesta Market on Siesta Key board up part of the store in advance of mandatory evacuations of the barrier island and closing Tuesday. © DEREK GILLIAM/HERALD-TRIBUNE STAFF PHOTO Workers at Morton’s Siesta Market on Siesta Key board up part of the store in advance of mandatory evacuations of the barrier island and closing Tuesday.

This time he's better prepared and will have a refrigerated trailer with a generator.

While he’s worried, Morton told jokes and had a smile on his face.

“I’m an optimist,” he said. “This too shall pass.” 

The new White Eagle Publix in Bradenton is 48,387 square feet. © HERALD-TRIBUNE STAFF PHOTO / DANNY DEJARNETTE The new White Eagle Publix in Bradenton is 48,387 square feet.

1:00 p.m. | Publix stores in Sarasota-Manatee will close tonight through Thursday due to Hurricane Ian

According to the Publix storm status page, all Publix stores on the west coast of Florida south of Homosassa Springs, will be closing at 6 p.m. Tuesday and will stay closed until 7 a.m. Friday, due to the threat of Hurricane Ian. This includes all stores in Sarasota, Manatee, Lee, Charlotte, Collier Hillsborough and Pinellas counties, as well as areas up the I-4 corridor.

12:45 p.m. | Sarasota County expands mandatory evacuations ahead of Hurricane Ian

Sarasota County has expanded its mandatory evacuation to include both Level A and B, Sarasota County’s emergency management chief announced during a midday press conference. Level A was announced on Monday. 

Shelters: Find your Sarasota and Manatee county evacuation zone and hurricane shelters here.

Unlike Manatee County, Sarasota County doesn’t have voluntary evacuations – it only has mandatory ones. The county’s shelters opened at noon Tuesday.  

At the Nolan Middle Special Needs shelter in Manatee County, over 100 Department of Health staffers are ready to care for evacuees who need additional medical assistance. © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune At the Nolan Middle Special Needs shelter in Manatee County, over 100 Department of Health staffers are ready to care for evacuees who need additional medical assistance.

12:15 p.m. | More stories from Sarasota-Manatee Hurricane Ian shelters

At the special needs shelter in Nolan Middle School in Manatee County, over 100 Department of Health staffers are ready to care for evacuees who need additional medical assistance.

Chris Tittel, DOH spokesperson, said the facility can handle up to 650 special needs clients for up to six days without resupply. He said it’s his tenth time working at a special needs shelter, and the most people he’s seen is about 250.

At the Nolan Middle Special Needs shelter in Manatee County, the facility can handle up to 650 special needs clients for up to six days without resupply. © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune At the Nolan Middle Special Needs shelter in Manatee County, the facility can handle up to 650 special needs clients for up to six days without resupply.

Jerry Pirkl, 84, went to another shelter before being redirected to the special needs shelter because he’s on oxygen. In high spirits, he evacuated for the first time ever in his 40 years in Florida because he lives in a trailer.

“I wouldn’t be too upset if it’s not there,” he said.

Pirkl said he’s worried people are going to die because of this storm.

“There’s gonna be people dying because they think they’re smarter than the weatherman,” he said.

A stage hand at the Van Wezel, Pirkl said he knew he was evacuating about three or four days ago.

Nicholas Goodpaster, 37, took refuge at Southside Elementary in Sarasota. He’s homeless, and it’s the first time he’s sought hurricane shelter. He said the facility seems very safe and he’s feeling calm ahead of the storm. © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune Nicholas Goodpaster, 37, took refuge at Southside Elementary in Sarasota. He’s homeless, and it’s the first time he’s sought hurricane shelter. He said the facility seems very safe and he’s feeling calm ahead of the storm.

Nicholas Goodpaster, 37, took refuge at Southside Elementary. He’s homeless and it’s the first time he hs sought a storm shelter from a hurricane. He said the facility seems very safe, and he’s feeling calm ahead of the storm.

11:00 a.m. | Hurricane Ian's track shifts to Sarasota County, severe storm surge and rainfall expected

The 11 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center indicates that forecast conditions are worsening for Sarasota and Manatee counties.

The NHC predicts that Sarasota County can expect a storm surge of 8-12 feet, while Manatee County is still at 5-8 feet. Expected rainfall for the area is now 12 to 16 inches, with isolated totals up to 24 inches.

"Tornadoes are possible today through Wednesday across the Florida Keys and the southern and central Florida Peninsula," said the NHC forecast.

10:40 a.m. | Venice expected landfall site for Hurricane Ian, according to Florida state officials 

The Sarasota County city of Venice is expected to be landfall for Hurricane Ian, coming ashore Wednesday as a powerful Category 3 storm packing winds up to 125 m.p.h., Florida Emergency Management Director Kevin Guthrie said Tuesday.

Gov. Ron DeSantis also said flooding from Hurricane Ian was likely across much of west Florida. He also raised the possibility that after landfall, a weakening Ian would continue to march across Central Florida before exiting somewhere along the state’s Atlantic Coast. 

Hurricane Ian: Venice now looks like Florida landfall for shifting Hurricane Ian

“By and large, we’re looking at really, really major storm surge up and down the west coast of Florida,” DeSantis said.

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10:30 a.m. | Sarasota-Bradenton Airport (SRQ) to close Tuesday before Hurricane Ian

Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport will close Tuesday at 8 p.m. ahead of Hurricane Ian’s arrival.  

Rick Piccolo, the airport's president and CEO, said the last commercial flight will be at about 6 p.m. Tuesday, but his team wants to make sure that no “last minute” private aviation flights arrive at SRQ. 

“Because the winds will start picking up, and we’ll be sending all our people home except the essential employees,” he said, “and we don’t want aircraft then landing here because we don’t want accidents or anything like that.” 

Tampa International Airport announced earlier that it will suspe operations at 5 p.m. today, due to Hurricane Ian.

10:00 a.m. | Stories of Sarasota-Manatee residents evacuating for Hurricane Ian to shelters

Nancy Knowles from Bradenton brought her dog Molly with her to the Braden River High shelter. She moved to the area from New Jersey, and it’s her first hurricane in the area. She evacuated from an RV park designated Zone A.

“I’m not nervous,” she said.

Sheriff's Office personnel say there have only been about 10 or so people since it opened at 8 a.m. The shelter holds about 3,300 people, according to officials.

Shelters: Find your Sarasota and Manatee county evacuation zone and hurricane shelters here.

At 10 a.m., Sheriff's Office personnel said only been about 10 or so people had come to the Braden River High shelter in Manatee County since it opened at 8 a.m. The shelter holds about 3,300 people, according to officials. © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune At 10 a.m., Sheriff's Office personnel said only been about 10 or so people had come to the Braden River High shelter in Manatee County since it opened at 8 a.m. The shelter holds about 3,300 people, according to officials.

Katie Dalton, 62, filled out her paperwork for the shelter in the schools’s front office. It’s not her first time evacuating to Braden River High, she lives in the RV park right down the road. She’s with her jack russell/yorkie Ana, her mother and husband.

Dalton said she tried to get a hotel for four days, with no luck. “The only ones they had were on the water,” she said.

Manatee High, home of the Hurricanes, fairly close to the water. It’s also pet friendly. © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune Manatee High, home of the Hurricanes, fairly close to the water. It’s also pet friendly.

Manatee High, home of the hurricanes (yikes) is a shelter much closer to the water. It’s also pet friendly.

A bus from the Salvation Army brought several people to the Manatee High shelter just after 9 a.m. Troy Perry, 41 from Bradenton, came with the bus. It’s his first time using a storm shelter, but he’s not nervous, he said.

“I’m calm,” Perry said. “We’ll make do, hopefully.”

A bus from Salvation Army brought several people to the Manatee High shelter an hour after it opened at 8 a.m. © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune A bus from Salvation Army brought several people to the Manatee High shelter an hour after it opened at 8 a.m.

Hannah D., a lifelong Bradenton resident, usually rides out the storms. This time, however, the evacuation order prompted her to bring her two kids to the Manatee High shelter.

She’s not worried, just happy to be safe.

“I’ve been doing this my whole life, she said. “It is what it is.”

Hannah D., a lifelong Bradenton resident, usually rides out the storms. This time, however, the evacuation order prompted her to bring her two kids to the Manatee High shelter. She’s not worried, just happy to be safe. “I’ve been doing this my whole life," she said. “It is what it is.” © Steven Walker/Herald-Tribune Hannah D., a lifelong Bradenton resident, usually rides out the storms. This time, however, the evacuation order prompted her to bring her two kids to the Manatee High shelter. She’s not worried, just happy to be safe. “I’ve been doing this my whole life," she said. “It is what it is.”

9:00 a.m. | Manatee County adds more mandatory and voluntary evacuations

Manatee County has extended its evacuation orders this morning. There are now mandatory evacuations in Levels A and B, with recommended evacuation in Level C. Learn your level here.

Manatee County shelters opened at 8 a.m. today. Here is a list of shelters.

Hurricane Ian tropical-storm-force wind probabilities as of 8 a.m. Tuesday. © NHC Hurricane Ian tropical-storm-force wind probabilities as of 8 a.m. Tuesday.

8:00 a.m. | When will Hurricane Ian impact Sarasota-Manatee? Here's a projected timeline

When will Hurricane Ian impact Sarasota-Manatee? Here's a projected timeline, based on NWS and NHC forecasts:

  • 2 a.m. Wednesday – Hurricane Ian at Category 4, with winds of 130 mph, due west of Everglades National Park
  • 2 a.m. Wednesday – Tropical-storm-force winds in Sarasota County
  • 8 a.m. Wednesday – Tropical-storm-force winds in Manatee County
  • 2 p.m. Wednesday – Hurricane Ian at Category 3, with winds of 125 mph, due west of Fort Myers
  • 5 a.m. Thursday – Possible landfall in north Manatee County or the Tampa Bay area

The latest forecast from the National Weather Service in Ruskin calls for a major hurricane landfall in West Central Florida likely on Wednesday night or Thursday morning, with two feet of rain and possible extreme flooding.

The projected path of Hurricane Ian as of 8 a.m. Tuesday © NHC The projected path of Hurricane Ian as of 8 a.m. Tuesday

By 2 a.m. Wednesday, Ian is projected to be a Cat 4 hurricane west of Everglades National Park, with 130 mph winds, moving north at 10 mph. By 2 p.m. Wednesday, it is projected to be west of Fort Myers as a Cat 3 storm, with 125 mph winds, moving north at 8 mph.

The forecast could see the storm make landfall in north Manatee County or south Hillsborough County between late Wednesday night and early Thursday morning. Other potential tracks could see the storm make landfall in Pinellas County or farther north along the Nature Coast, according to the NWS.

Potential rainfall of up to 24 inches in West Central Florida from Wednesday through Friday would lead to flash flooding and extended periods of river flooding.

A significant tornado event is expected as Ian interacts with a cold front in North Central Florida.

Camilyn Leavitt, (in center) fills sandbags for her Sarasota, Palm Avenue business, ‘Camilyn Beth’ in the northeast parking lot of Ed Smith Stadium, 2700 12th Street, in Sarasota. © THOMAS BENDER/HERALD TRIBUNE Camilyn Leavitt, (in center) fills sandbags for her Sarasota, Palm Avenue business, ‘Camilyn Beth’ in the northeast parking lot of Ed Smith Stadium, 2700 12th Street, in Sarasota.

7:30 a.m. | Evacuations, shelters, sandbags and other things to know Tuesday in Sarasota-Manatee

Hurricane Ian evacuations in Sarasota County

Sarasota County is calling for the evacuation of Level A. This includes vessels, RVs, mobile and manufactured homes. Learn your level here.

Sarasota County shelters will open at noon today. Here is a list of shelters.

Buses will begin serving Transportation Rally Points at 11 a.m.today, ending at 8 p.m. or when sustained winds reach 35 mph, whichever comes first. Here is a list of transportation rally points.

Hurricane Ian live updates: Live Updates: Hurricane Ian's path, predictions and Florida Gov. DeSantis' latest

The projected path of Hurricane Ian, as of 5 a.m. Tuesday. © NHC The projected path of Hurricane Ian, as of 5 a.m. Tuesday.

Where to find sandbags in Sarasota County

Sarasota County will offer sandbags from 8 a.m.-noon on Tuesday at three locations:

  • Twin Lakes Park, 6700 Clark Road, Sarasota
  • Ed Smith Stadium, 2700 12th St., Sarasota
  • South County Fleet Services, 4571 SR 776/Englewood Road, Venice

Hurricane Ian evacuations in Manatee County

Manatee County has issued a mandatory evacuation order for Zones A and B and a voluntary evacuation order for Zone C. Learn your zone here.

Manatee County shelters will open at 8 a.m. today. Here is a list of shelters.

Where to find sandbags in Manatee County

Manatee County will offer sandbags beginning at 8 a.m. and will continue to operate as long as the weather permits. See a list of the many locations here.

5:00 a.m. | Hurricane Ian now a Category 3, headed for Sarasota-Manatee

According to the National Hurricane Center's 5 a.m. update, Hurricane Ian has made landfall in Cuba as a Category 3 hurricane, with sustained winds of 125 mph.

Ian will emerge "over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later this morning, pass west of the Florida Keys later today, and approach the west coast of Florida within the hurricane warning area on Wednesday and Wednesday night," said the NHC.

Hurricane Ian is expected to approach Sarasota-Manatee as a Category 4 storm.

Opinion: Hurricane Ian's approaching, and all we have now is each other

Hurricane Ian is expected to bring a storm surge of 5-10 feet and 6-12 inches of rain, including "widespread considerable flash and urban flooding, and prolonged

significant river flooding" to the Sarasota-Manatee area, according to the NHC forecast.

"There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge along much of the Florida west coast where a storm surge warning has been issued, with the highest risk from Fort Myers to the Tampa Bay region," said the NHC.

The National Weather Service in Tampa warns of "widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period."

Sarasota and Manatee counties should expect tropical storm conditions beginning possibly Tuesday night, with hurricane conditions on Wednesday.

A hurricane warning and a storm surge warning are still in effect for Sarasota and Manatee counties.

Storm Danger: Hurricane Ian threatens to bring 5-8 feet of storm surge. Here's what to know

CATCH UP WITH MONDAY'S HURRICANE IAN UPDATES

This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: 2 p.m. Live Updates: Hurricane Ian still on track to hit Sarasota County, historic flooding possible

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